Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democrat Bobby Pulido in the November 3 general election for Texas's 15th congressional district, a race rated Lean Republican by multiple forecasters. Recent polling averages show the candidates essentially tied or with De La Cruz holding a narrow edge within margins of error, reflecting the district's competitive nature despite its partisan lean. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing incorporates these tight surveys, the challenger's name recognition and fundraising, and the broader national environment heading into the midterms. No major late-breaking events have shifted positioning in the past month, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns, candidate messaging on border security and economic issues, and any final polling movements before early voting begins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
$11,589 KL.
$11,589 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
57%
Republican Party
46%
$11,589 KL.
$11,589 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,342 KL.
57%
Republican Party
$7,247 KL.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democrat Bobby Pulido in the November 3 general election for Texas's 15th congressional district, a race rated Lean Republican by multiple forecasters. Recent polling averages show the candidates essentially tied or with De La Cruz holding a narrow edge within margins of error, reflecting the district's competitive nature despite its partisan lean. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing incorporates these tight surveys, the challenger's name recognition and fundraising, and the broader national environment heading into the midterms. No major late-breaking events have shifted positioning in the past month, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns, candidate messaging on border security and economic issues, and any final polling movements before early voting begins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,589Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democrat Bobby Pulido in the November 3 general election for Texas's 15th congressional district, a race rated Lean Republican by multiple forecasters. Recent polling averages show the candidates essentially tied or with De La Cruz holding a narrow edge within margins of error, reflecting the district's competitive nature despite its partisan lean. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing incorporates these tight surveys, the challenger's name recognition and fundraising, and the broader national environment heading into the midterms. No major late-breaking events have shifted positioning in the past month, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns, candidate messaging on border security and economic issues, and any final polling movements before early voting begins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,589Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democrat Bobby Pulido in the November 3 general election for Texas's 15th congressional district, a race rated Lean Republican by multiple forecasters. Recent polling averages show the candidates essentially tied or with De La Cruz holding a narrow edge within margins of error, reflecting the district's competitive nature despite its partisan lean. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing incorporates these tight surveys, the challenger's name recognition and fundraising, and the broader national environment heading into the midterms. No major late-breaking events have shifted positioning in the past month, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns, candidate messaging on border security and economic issues, and any final polling movements before early voting begins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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