Trader consensus gives Vancouver Liberals' Kareem Allam a narrow 40% edge over incumbent Mayor Ken Sim's 33.5% in the October 17, 2026, municipal election, with Vancouver Green Pete Fry at 15%, reflecting a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates that risks splitting the progressive vote and aiding the ABC Vancouver incumbent. A February Research Co. poll showed Vancouverites evenly split on re-electing Sim amid housing and public safety concerns, while Allam's momentum as Sim's former chief of staff—bolstered by his October 2025 campaign launch and recent critiques on Whitecaps stadium relocation and City Hall AI use—has drawn trader support. Pete Fry's April entry and a progressive parties' pact to limit council contenders aim to consolidate opposition, but unverified May allegations of foreign influence against Sim add uncertainty. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and summer polls could tip the closely contested race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKareem Allam 40%
Ken Sim 34%
Pete Fry 15.0%
William Azaroff 4.4%
$66,190 KL.
$66,190 KL.
Kareem Allam
40%
Ken Sim
34%
Pete Fry
15%
William Azaroff
4%
Colleen Hardwick
2%
John Coupar
1%
Rebecca Bligh
1%
Sean Orr
1%
Tim Louis
<1%
Amanda Burrows
<1%
Kirk LaPointe
<1%
Fred Harding
<1%
Kareem Allam 40%
Ken Sim 34%
Pete Fry 15.0%
William Azaroff 4.4%
$66,190 KL.
$66,190 KL.
Kareem Allam
40%
Ken Sim
34%
Pete Fry
15%
William Azaroff
4%
Colleen Hardwick
2%
John Coupar
1%
Rebecca Bligh
1%
Sean Orr
1%
Tim Louis
<1%
Amanda Burrows
<1%
Kirk LaPointe
<1%
Fred Harding
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Thị trường mở: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus gives Vancouver Liberals' Kareem Allam a narrow 40% edge over incumbent Mayor Ken Sim's 33.5% in the October 17, 2026, municipal election, with Vancouver Green Pete Fry at 15%, reflecting a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates that risks splitting the progressive vote and aiding the ABC Vancouver incumbent. A February Research Co. poll showed Vancouverites evenly split on re-electing Sim amid housing and public safety concerns, while Allam's momentum as Sim's former chief of staff—bolstered by his October 2025 campaign launch and recent critiques on Whitecaps stadium relocation and City Hall AI use—has drawn trader support. Pete Fry's April entry and a progressive parties' pact to limit council contenders aim to consolidate opposition, but unverified May allegations of foreign influence against Sim add uncertainty. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and summer polls could tip the closely contested race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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