Recent Chicago housing data, including Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326,000 as of late May 2026 with 3.5% year-over-year gains, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $339k–$342k range at 26.5%. Persistent low inventory, 4–6% annual price growth across Redfin and Realtor.com reports, and elevated mortgage rates near 6% have tempered acceleration, leaving the outcome contested between modest June gains and potential seasonal softening. Key swing factors include any final pre-resolution sales figures or index updates that could shift the median by a few thousand dollars, with traders weighting the narrow band heavily due to the resolution date’s proximity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$339k - $342k 75%
<$339k 20%
$342k - $345k 10%
$345k - $348k 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
<$339k
21%
$339k - $342k
75%
$342k - $345k
10%
$345k - $348k
10%
$348k - $351k
3%
$351k - $354k
<1%
>$354k
4%
$339k - $342k 75%
<$339k 20%
$342k - $345k 10%
$345k - $348k 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
<$339k
$264 KL.
21%
$339k - $342k
$750 KL.
75%
$342k - $345k
$270 KL.
10%
$345k - $348k
$194 KL.
10%
$348k - $351k
$220 KL.
3%
$351k - $354k
$258 KL.
<1%
>$354k
$492 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent Chicago housing data, including Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326,000 as of late May 2026 with 3.5% year-over-year gains, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $339k–$342k range at 26.5%. Persistent low inventory, 4–6% annual price growth across Redfin and Realtor.com reports, and elevated mortgage rates near 6% have tempered acceleration, leaving the outcome contested between modest June gains and potential seasonal softening. Key swing factors include any final pre-resolution sales figures or index updates that could shift the median by a few thousand dollars, with traders weighting the narrow band heavily due to the resolution date’s proximity.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Thị trường mở: Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,447Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent Chicago housing data, including Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326,000 as of late May 2026 with 3.5% year-over-year gains, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $339k–$342k range at 26.5%. Persistent low inventory, 4–6% annual price growth across Redfin and Realtor.com reports, and elevated mortgage rates near 6% have tempered acceleration, leaving the outcome contested between modest June gains and potential seasonal softening. Key swing factors include any final pre-resolution sales figures or index updates that could shift the median by a few thousand dollars, with traders weighting the narrow band heavily due to the resolution date’s proximity.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Khối lượng
$2,447Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Chicago housing data, including Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326,000 as of late May 2026 with 3.5% year-over-year gains, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $339k–$342k range at 26.5%. Persistent low inventory, 4–6% annual price growth across Redfin and Realtor.com reports, and elevated mortgage rates near 6% have tempered acceleration, leaving the outcome contested between modest June gains and potential seasonal softening. Key swing factors include any final pre-resolution sales figures or index updates that could shift the median by a few thousand dollars, with traders weighting the narrow band heavily due to the resolution date’s proximity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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