Recent median existing-home sales prices reached $429,300 in May 2026 according to National Association of Realtors data, anchoring the widest market-implied probability at 33% for outcomes below $429,000. Slowing year-over-year appreciation of 0.7–1.7% through March, per FHFA and Case-Shiller indices, combined with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% and mixed monthly price changes, has tempered upward momentum and widened the distribution across $429,000–$439,000 bands. Seasonal patterns, rising inventory, and pending June releases from NAR and FHFA introduce further uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution, keeping probabilities diffuse as traders weigh modest price stability against potential further softening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật<$429k 38%
$429k - $431k 18%
$431k - $433k 15%
$433k - $435k 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
<$429k
33%
$429k - $431k
18%
$431k - $433k
15%
$433k - $435k
11%
$435k - $437k
7%
$437k - $439k
5%
>$439k
5%
<$429k 38%
$429k - $431k 18%
$431k - $433k 15%
$433k - $435k 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
<$429k
$176 KL.
33%
$429k - $431k
$18 KL.
18%
$431k - $433k
$1 KL.
15%
$433k - $435k
$1 KL.
11%
$435k - $437k
$0 KL.
7%
$437k - $439k
$30 KL.
5%
>$439k
$0 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent median existing-home sales prices reached $429,300 in May 2026 according to National Association of Realtors data, anchoring the widest market-implied probability at 33% for outcomes below $429,000. Slowing year-over-year appreciation of 0.7–1.7% through March, per FHFA and Case-Shiller indices, combined with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% and mixed monthly price changes, has tempered upward momentum and widened the distribution across $429,000–$439,000 bands. Seasonal patterns, rising inventory, and pending June releases from NAR and FHFA introduce further uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution, keeping probabilities diffuse as traders weigh modest price stability against potential further softening.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Thị trường mở: Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Khối lượng
$227Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent median existing-home sales prices reached $429,300 in May 2026 according to National Association of Realtors data, anchoring the widest market-implied probability at 33% for outcomes below $429,000. Slowing year-over-year appreciation of 0.7–1.7% through March, per FHFA and Case-Shiller indices, combined with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% and mixed monthly price changes, has tempered upward momentum and widened the distribution across $429,000–$439,000 bands. Seasonal patterns, rising inventory, and pending June releases from NAR and FHFA introduce further uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution, keeping probabilities diffuse as traders weigh modest price stability against potential further softening.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Khối lượng
$227Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent median existing-home sales prices reached $429,300 in May 2026 according to National Association of Realtors data, anchoring the widest market-implied probability at 33% for outcomes below $429,000. Slowing year-over-year appreciation of 0.7–1.7% through March, per FHFA and Case-Shiller indices, combined with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% and mixed monthly price changes, has tempered upward momentum and widened the distribution across $429,000–$439,000 bands. Seasonal patterns, rising inventory, and pending June releases from NAR and FHFA introduce further uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution, keeping probabilities diffuse as traders weigh modest price stability against potential further softening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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