The August 11, 2026 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor produced an unexpectedly tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Rep. Francesca Hong after several high-profile dropouts narrowed the field late in the cycle. Unofficial results showed the two candidates separated by roughly 3,000 votes out of more than 780,000 cast, with vote counting continuing into the following day and no concession issued. The Associated Press typically withholds a call in such low-margin, high-uncertainty primaries until a clear majority of precincts report and remaining ballots cannot mathematically alter the outcome. Traders are therefore monitoring the pace of remaining canvassing, any late-reporting urban or absentee batches, and statements from the campaigns or election officials that could accelerate or delay an AP projection. Historical precedent in similarly close Wisconsin contests shows the wire service often waits 12–36 hours after polls close when margins fall below 1–2 percent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhen will the AP call the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary?
When will the AP call the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary?
$931 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
Before 2 AM Aug 12
No
Before 3 AM Aug 12
No
Before 4 AM Aug 12
Yes
Before 5 AM Aug 12
Yes
Before 10 AM Aug 12
Yes
$931 KL.
Before 2 AM Aug 12
$242 KL.
No
Before 3 AM Aug 12
$187 KL.
No
Before 4 AM Aug 12
$178 KL.
Yes
Before 5 AM Aug 12
$161 KL.
Yes
Before 10 AM Aug 12
$161 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.The August 11, 2026 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor produced an unexpectedly tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Rep. Francesca Hong after several high-profile dropouts narrowed the field late in the cycle. Unofficial results showed the two candidates separated by roughly 3,000 votes out of more than 780,000 cast, with vote counting continuing into the following day and no concession issued. The Associated Press typically withholds a call in such low-margin, high-uncertainty primaries until a clear majority of precincts report and remaining ballots cannot mathematically alter the outcome. Traders are therefore monitoring the pace of remaining canvassing, any late-reporting urban or absentee batches, and statements from the campaigns or election officials that could accelerate or delay an AP projection. Historical precedent in similarly close Wisconsin contests shows the wire service often waits 12–36 hours after polls close when margins fall below 1–2 percent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Khối lượng
$931Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://apnews.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.The August 11, 2026 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor produced an unexpectedly tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Rep. Francesca Hong after several high-profile dropouts narrowed the field late in the cycle. Unofficial results showed the two candidates separated by roughly 3,000 votes out of more than 780,000 cast, with vote counting continuing into the following day and no concession issued. The Associated Press typically withholds a call in such low-margin, high-uncertainty primaries until a clear majority of precincts report and remaining ballots cannot mathematically alter the outcome. Traders are therefore monitoring the pace of remaining canvassing, any late-reporting urban or absentee batches, and statements from the campaigns or election officials that could accelerate or delay an AP projection. Historical precedent in similarly close Wisconsin contests shows the wire service often waits 12–36 hours after polls close when margins fall below 1–2 percent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
Khối lượng
$931Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://apnews.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The August 11, 2026 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor produced an unexpectedly tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Rep. Francesca Hong after several high-profile dropouts narrowed the field late in the cycle. Unofficial results showed the two candidates separated by roughly 3,000 votes out of more than 780,000 cast, with vote counting continuing into the following day and no concession issued. The Associated Press typically withholds a call in such low-margin, high-uncertainty primaries until a clear majority of precincts report and remaining ballots cannot mathematically alter the outcome. Traders are therefore monitoring the pace of remaining canvassing, any late-reporting urban or absentee batches, and statements from the campaigns or election officials that could accelerate or delay an AP projection. Historical precedent in similarly close Wisconsin contests shows the wire service often waits 12–36 hours after polls close when margins fall below 1–2 percent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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