OpenAI’s commanding 98.2% implied probability for second-highest revenue this week rests on its sustained lead in large-language-model monetization through ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, which continue to outpace rivals by wide margins. Recent model updates and expanded developer tooling have reinforced user adoption and recurring revenue streams, while competitors such as Anthropic and xAI remain smaller in scale and lack comparable commercial traction. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly large licensing deal or product launch from Google DeepMind or another lab to close the gap within days—an outcome traders currently assign only minimal odds given established revenue trajectories.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOpenAI 98.0%
Google 1.4%
Anthropic <1%
Xiaomi <1%
$27,206 KL.
$27,206 KL.
May 17, 2026
OpenAI
98%
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
xAI
<1%
OpenAI 98.0%
Google 1.4%
Anthropic <1%
Xiaomi <1%
$27,206 KL.
$27,206 KL.
May 17, 2026
OpenAI
$9,700 KL.
98%
$1,707 KL.
1%
Anthropic
$2,252 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,449 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$950 KL.
<1%
Z.ai
$3,087 KL.
<1%
DeepSeek
$3,581 KL.
<1%
xAI
$4,480 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.OpenAI’s commanding 98.2% implied probability for second-highest revenue this week rests on its sustained lead in large-language-model monetization through ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, which continue to outpace rivals by wide margins. Recent model updates and expanded developer tooling have reinforced user adoption and recurring revenue streams, while competitors such as Anthropic and xAI remain smaller in scale and lack comparable commercial traction. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly large licensing deal or product launch from Google DeepMind or another lab to close the gap within days—an outcome traders currently assign only minimal odds given established revenue trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Thị trường mở: May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$27,206Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.OpenAI’s commanding 98.2% implied probability for second-highest revenue this week rests on its sustained lead in large-language-model monetization through ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, which continue to outpace rivals by wide margins. Recent model updates and expanded developer tooling have reinforced user adoption and recurring revenue streams, while competitors such as Anthropic and xAI remain smaller in scale and lack comparable commercial traction. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly large licensing deal or product launch from Google DeepMind or another lab to close the gap within days—an outcome traders currently assign only minimal odds given established revenue trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Khối lượng
$27,206Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s commanding 98.2% implied probability for second-highest revenue this week rests on its sustained lead in large-language-model monetization through ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, which continue to outpace rivals by wide margins. Recent model updates and expanded developer tooling have reinforced user adoption and recurring revenue streams, while competitors such as Anthropic and xAI remain smaller in scale and lack comparable commercial traction. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly large licensing deal or product launch from Google DeepMind or another lab to close the gap within days—an outcome traders currently assign only minimal odds given established revenue trajectories.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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