Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model, released around April 16, 2026, has secured the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) with a leading 1503 Elo score, sweeping the top three positions ahead of rivals like OpenAI and Google models. This dominance stems from its superior reasoning capabilities in blind human evaluations that isolate substance from stylistic flair, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital at 100% implied probability. The model has held firm through late April despite competitive pressures, with no major challengers emerging. Realistic upset scenarios include a last-minute rival release or leaderboard recalibration before April 30 resolution, though proximity to deadline minimizes such risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic 100.0%
Moonshot <1%
Amazon <1%
Mistral <1%
$2,002,923 KL.
$2,002,923 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
Moonshot
Không
Amazon
Không
Mistral
Không
Microsoft
Không
Anthropic
Có
ByteDance
Không
Z.ai
Không
Meituan
Không
Không
Alibaba
Không
Baidu
Không
Meta
Không
OpenAI
Không
xAI
Không
DeepSeek
Không
Anthropic 100.0%
Moonshot <1%
Amazon <1%
Mistral <1%
$2,002,923 KL.
$2,002,923 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
Moonshot
$140,153 KL.
Không
Amazon
$80,848 KL.
Không
Mistral
$118,134 KL.
Không
Microsoft
$34,730 KL.
Không
Anthropic
$170,120 KL.
Có
ByteDance
$45,324 KL.
Không
Z.ai
$86,407 KL.
Không
Meituan
$61,138 KL.
Không
$221,932 KL.
Không
Alibaba
$90,867 KL.
Không
Baidu
$129,060 KL.
Không
Meta
$39,510 KL.
Không
OpenAI
$235,032 KL.
Không
xAI
$226,933 KL.
Không
DeepSeek
$322,734 KL.
Không
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model, released around April 16, 2026, has secured the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) with a leading 1503 Elo score, sweeping the top three positions ahead of rivals like OpenAI and Google models. This dominance stems from its superior reasoning capabilities in blind human evaluations that isolate substance from stylistic flair, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital at 100% implied probability. The model has held firm through late April despite competitive pressures, with no major challengers emerging. Realistic upset scenarios include a last-minute rival release or leaderboard recalibration before April 30 resolution, though proximity to deadline minimizes such risks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Mar 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,002,923Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Không
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Không
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model, released around April 16, 2026, has secured the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) with a leading 1503 Elo score, sweeping the top three positions ahead of rivals like OpenAI and Google models. This dominance stems from its superior reasoning capabilities in blind human evaluations that isolate substance from stylistic flair, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital at 100% implied probability. The model has held firm through late April despite competitive pressures, with no major challengers emerging. Realistic upset scenarios include a last-minute rival release or leaderboard recalibration before April 30 resolution, though proximity to deadline minimizes such risks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Khối lượng
$2,002,923Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Không
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Không
Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model, released around April 16, 2026, has secured the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) with a leading 1503 Elo score, sweeping the top three positions ahead of rivals like OpenAI and Google models. This dominance stems from its superior reasoning capabilities in blind human evaluations that isolate substance from stylistic flair, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital at 100% implied probability. The model has held firm through late April despite competitive pressures, with no major challengers emerging. Realistic upset scenarios include a last-minute rival release or leaderboard recalibration before April 30 resolution, though proximity to deadline minimizes such risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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