United Russia's entrenched position as Russia's dominant ruling party, bolstered by incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and administrative resources, drives trader consensus toward it securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections. Recent regional legislative results show the party improving its performance compared to prior cycles, while Kremlin preparations including electronic primaries and candidate renewal further reinforce its structural edge. New People's rise in select VCIOM surveys to around 12-16 percent reflects appeal among younger and urban voters, contributing to its secondary market positioning, though FOM data and institutional constraints limit its overall prospects. Other parties such as LDPR and KPRF remain stable but trail due to limited momentum and historical vote ceilings in the managed multiparty system.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtĐảng nào sẽ giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử Quốc hội Nga?
Đảng nào sẽ giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử Quốc hội Nga?
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 61%
Những Người Mới (NL) 30.3%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR) 5.5%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) 3.0%
$8,251,398 KL.
$8,251,398 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)
61%
Những Người Mới (NL)
30%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)
6%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)
3%
Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 61%
Những Người Mới (NL) 30.3%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR) 5.5%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) 3.0%
$8,251,398 KL.
$8,251,398 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)
$2,154,265 KL.
61%
Những Người Mới (NL)
$1,062,297 KL.
30%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)
$2,276,734 KL.
6%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)
$658,279 KL.
3%
Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)
$574,590 KL.
1%
Rodina
$942,072 KL.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$583,161 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia's entrenched position as Russia's dominant ruling party, bolstered by incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and administrative resources, drives trader consensus toward it securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections. Recent regional legislative results show the party improving its performance compared to prior cycles, while Kremlin preparations including electronic primaries and candidate renewal further reinforce its structural edge. New People's rise in select VCIOM surveys to around 12-16 percent reflects appeal among younger and urban voters, contributing to its secondary market positioning, though FOM data and institutional constraints limit its overall prospects. Other parties such as LDPR and KPRF remain stable but trail due to limited momentum and historical vote ceilings in the managed multiparty system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Thị trường mở: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,251,398Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia's entrenched position as Russia's dominant ruling party, bolstered by incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and administrative resources, drives trader consensus toward it securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections. Recent regional legislative results show the party improving its performance compared to prior cycles, while Kremlin preparations including electronic primaries and candidate renewal further reinforce its structural edge. New People's rise in select VCIOM surveys to around 12-16 percent reflects appeal among younger and urban voters, contributing to its secondary market positioning, though FOM data and institutional constraints limit its overall prospects. Other parties such as LDPR and KPRF remain stable but trail due to limited momentum and historical vote ceilings in the managed multiparty system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Khối lượng
$8,251,398Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's entrenched position as Russia's dominant ruling party, bolstered by incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and administrative resources, drives trader consensus toward it securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections. Recent regional legislative results show the party improving its performance compared to prior cycles, while Kremlin preparations including electronic primaries and candidate renewal further reinforce its structural edge. New People's rise in select VCIOM surveys to around 12-16 percent reflects appeal among younger and urban voters, contributing to its secondary market positioning, though FOM data and institutional constraints limit its overall prospects. Other parties such as LDPR and KPRF remain stable but trail due to limited momentum and historical vote ceilings in the managed multiparty system.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp