Traders have converged on 180-199 White House posts for May 12-19 as the leading outcome at 68% implied probability, consistent with steady communication volume during periods of routine executive activity and policy updates. Recent official announcements on legislative priorities and standard diplomatic messaging have sustained this pace without triggering the higher volume associated with major escalations or breaking developments. The 160-179 bracket at 20.8% reflects scenarios of moderated activity amid ongoing negotiations, while the 200+ range at 12.5% prices in the possibility of intensified output from scheduled events or rapid-response statements. Lower brackets remain thinly traded given historical patterns of weekly posting under the current administration.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhite House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
180-199 68%
160-179 20.8%
200+ 12%
140-159 <1%
$37,762 KL.
$37,762 KL.
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
21%
180-199
68%
200+
12%
180-199 68%
160-179 20.8%
200+ 12%
140-159 <1%
$37,762 KL.
$37,762 KL.
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
21%
180-199
68%
200+
12%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 9, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 180-199 White House posts for May 12-19 as the leading outcome at 68% implied probability, consistent with steady communication volume during periods of routine executive activity and policy updates. Recent official announcements on legislative priorities and standard diplomatic messaging have sustained this pace without triggering the higher volume associated with major escalations or breaking developments. The 160-179 bracket at 20.8% reflects scenarios of moderated activity amid ongoing negotiations, while the 200+ range at 12.5% prices in the possibility of intensified output from scheduled events or rapid-response statements. Lower brackets remain thinly traded given historical patterns of weekly posting under the current administration.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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