Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$293,970 KL.
Ryan Salame
44%
Matt Gaetz
49%
Stefan Brodie
39%
Donald Brodie
32%
Daniel Penny
24%
Keonne Rodriguez
16%
Roger Ver
21%
Eric Adams
15%
Martin Shkreli
14%
Steve Bannon
15%
Joe Exotic
9%
Elizabeth Holmes
8%
Hunter Biden
7%
Sam Bankman-Fried
7%
Nicolas Maduro
7%
Diddy
6%
Ghislaine Maxwell
6%
Himself
5%
Edward Snowden
5%
Antoine Massey
7%
Derek Chauvin
4%
Elon Musk
4%
Young Thug
4%
Do Kwon
3%
Julian Assange
3%
Roger Stone
38%
Bob Menendez
45%
$293,970 KL.
Ryan Salame
44%
Matt Gaetz
49%
Stefan Brodie
39%
Donald Brodie
32%
Daniel Penny
24%
Keonne Rodriguez
16%
Roger Ver
21%
Eric Adams
15%
Martin Shkreli
14%
Steve Bannon
15%
Joe Exotic
9%
Elizabeth Holmes
8%
Hunter Biden
7%
Sam Bankman-Fried
7%
Nicolas Maduro
7%
Diddy
6%
Ghislaine Maxwell
6%
Himself
5%
Edward Snowden
5%
Antoine Massey
7%
Derek Chauvin
4%
Elon Musk
4%
Young Thug
4%
Do Kwon
3%
Julian Assange
3%
Roger Stone
38%
Bob Menendez
45%
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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