Apple's longstanding pattern of launching a new flagship iPhone model each September drives the strong market consensus around an iPhone 18 release in 2026. The company has maintained this annual cadence without interruption for over a decade, backed by mature supply chains, consistent R&D pipelines, and no official signals of a shift to biennial cycles or major redesign pauses. While potential disruptions like semiconductor constraints or a pivot toward foldable hardware remain theoretical risks, recent supply-chain reports and analyst briefings show no credible threats to the 2026 timeline. The expected iPhone 17 launch in fall 2025 serves as the next key checkpoint that would reinforce rather than challenge the existing release rhythm.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$100,738 KL.
$100,738 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$100,738 KL.
$100,738 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's longstanding pattern of launching a new flagship iPhone model each September drives the strong market consensus around an iPhone 18 release in 2026. The company has maintained this annual cadence without interruption for over a decade, backed by mature supply chains, consistent R&D pipelines, and no official signals of a shift to biennial cycles or major redesign pauses. While potential disruptions like semiconductor constraints or a pivot toward foldable hardware remain theoretical risks, recent supply-chain reports and analyst briefings show no credible threats to the 2026 timeline. The expected iPhone 17 launch in fall 2025 serves as the next key checkpoint that would reinforce rather than challenge the existing release rhythm.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$100,738Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's longstanding pattern of launching a new flagship iPhone model each September drives the strong market consensus around an iPhone 18 release in 2026. The company has maintained this annual cadence without interruption for over a decade, backed by mature supply chains, consistent R&D pipelines, and no official signals of a shift to biennial cycles or major redesign pauses. While potential disruptions like semiconductor constraints or a pivot toward foldable hardware remain theoretical risks, recent supply-chain reports and analyst briefings show no credible threats to the 2026 timeline. The expected iPhone 17 launch in fall 2025 serves as the next key checkpoint that would reinforce rather than challenge the existing release rhythm.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$100,738Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's longstanding pattern of launching a new flagship iPhone model each September drives the strong market consensus around an iPhone 18 release in 2026. The company has maintained this annual cadence without interruption for over a decade, backed by mature supply chains, consistent R&D pipelines, and no official signals of a shift to biennial cycles or major redesign pauses. While potential disruptions like semiconductor constraints or a pivot toward foldable hardware remain theoretical risks, recent supply-chain reports and analyst briefings show no credible threats to the 2026 timeline. The expected iPhone 17 launch in fall 2025 serves as the next key checkpoint that would reinforce rather than challenge the existing release rhythm.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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