Traders assign a 67.5% implied probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029 primarily due to expectations that Democrats will regain control of the chamber in the November 2026 midterms. Republicans currently hold a narrow majority, blocking advancement of multiple Democratic-filed resolutions, including H. Res. 115. Democratic leaders have downplayed immediate action to focus on the elections, yet polling shows majority public support for impeachment proceedings over issues such as alleged corruption and executive overreach. A House flip would likely trigger formal inquiries and floor votes, consistent with patterns from Trump’s first term. Markets price lower odds for Senate conviction or removal. Recent statements from Democratic figures and independent polling reinforce midterm-driven positioning without altering near-term procedural barriers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật68% khả năng
$94,121 KL.
$94,121 KL.
Jan 19, 2029
68% khả năng
$94,121 KL.
$94,121 KL.
Jan 19, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Traders assign a 67.5% implied probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029 primarily due to expectations that Democrats will regain control of the chamber in the November 2026 midterms. Republicans currently hold a narrow majority, blocking advancement of multiple Democratic-filed resolutions, including H. Res. 115. Democratic leaders have downplayed immediate action to focus on the elections, yet polling shows majority public support for impeachment proceedings over issues such as alleged corruption and executive overreach. A House flip would likely trigger formal inquiries and floor votes, consistent with patterns from Trump’s first term. Markets price lower odds for Senate conviction or removal. Recent statements from Democratic figures and independent polling reinforce midterm-driven positioning without altering near-term procedural barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$94,121Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2029Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Traders assign a 67.5% implied probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029 primarily due to expectations that Democrats will regain control of the chamber in the November 2026 midterms. Republicans currently hold a narrow majority, blocking advancement of multiple Democratic-filed resolutions, including H. Res. 115. Democratic leaders have downplayed immediate action to focus on the elections, yet polling shows majority public support for impeachment proceedings over issues such as alleged corruption and executive overreach. A House flip would likely trigger formal inquiries and floor votes, consistent with patterns from Trump’s first term. Markets price lower odds for Senate conviction or removal. Recent statements from Democratic figures and independent polling reinforce midterm-driven positioning without altering near-term procedural barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Khối lượng
$94,121Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2029Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 67.5% implied probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029 primarily due to expectations that Democrats will regain control of the chamber in the November 2026 midterms. Republicans currently hold a narrow majority, blocking advancement of multiple Democratic-filed resolutions, including H. Res. 115. Democratic leaders have downplayed immediate action to focus on the elections, yet polling shows majority public support for impeachment proceedings over issues such as alleged corruption and executive overreach. A House flip would likely trigger formal inquiries and floor votes, consistent with patterns from Trump’s first term. Markets price lower odds for Senate conviction or removal. Recent statements from Democratic figures and independent polling reinforce midterm-driven positioning without altering near-term procedural barriers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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