Intense nationalization of the 2026 House contests, driven by President Trump’s sub-50% approval ratings and a Democratic generic ballot lead of roughly 6–8 points, is sustaining elevated mobilization on both sides and anchoring trader expectations in the 115–130 million vote range. Record House retirements, dozens of competitive districts, and Democratic overperformance in recent special elections and primaries have signaled stronger base engagement than typical midterms. Expanded mail and early voting access from prior cycles raises the participation floor, while economic sentiment, campaign spending surges, and get-out-the-vote intensity in battlegrounds remain the key variables that could push totals higher or keep them closer to 2022 levels near 114 million.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1.25-1.3 億 23%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬 21%
1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬 20%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬 17%
$29,233 交易量
$29,233 交易量
2026-11-02
少於8,500萬
1%
8,500萬-9,000萬
<1%
9,000萬-9,500萬
1%
9,500萬至1億
2%
1億到1億零5百萬
5%
1億500萬至1億1000萬
6%
1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬
20%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬
21%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬
17%
1.25-1.3 億
23%
1億3,000萬+
5%
1.25-1.3 億 23%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬 21%
1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬 20%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬 17%
$29,233 交易量
$29,233 交易量
2026-11-02
少於8,500萬
$610 交易量
1%
8,500萬-9,000萬
$619 交易量
<1%
9,000萬-9,500萬
$1,727 交易量
1%
9,500萬至1億
$380 交易量
2%
1億到1億零5百萬
$1,225 交易量
5%
1億500萬至1億1000萬
$931 交易量
6%
1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬
$4,892 交易量
20%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬
$4,697 交易量
21%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬
$9,341 交易量
17%
1.25-1.3 億
$3,367 交易量
23%
1億3,000萬+
$1,445 交易量
5%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Intense nationalization of the 2026 House contests, driven by President Trump’s sub-50% approval ratings and a Democratic generic ballot lead of roughly 6–8 points, is sustaining elevated mobilization on both sides and anchoring trader expectations in the 115–130 million vote range. Record House retirements, dozens of competitive districts, and Democratic overperformance in recent special elections and primaries have signaled stronger base engagement than typical midterms. Expanded mail and early voting access from prior cycles raises the participation floor, while economic sentiment, campaign spending surges, and get-out-the-vote intensity in battlegrounds remain the key variables that could push totals higher or keep them closer to 2022 levels near 114 million.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市場開放時間： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
交易量
$29,233結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETThe US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Intense nationalization of the 2026 House contests, driven by President Trump’s sub-50% approval ratings and a Democratic generic ballot lead of roughly 6–8 points, is sustaining elevated mobilization on both sides and anchoring trader expectations in the 115–130 million vote range. Record House retirements, dozens of competitive districts, and Democratic overperformance in recent special elections and primaries have signaled stronger base engagement than typical midterms. Expanded mail and early voting access from prior cycles raises the participation floor, while economic sentiment, campaign spending surges, and get-out-the-vote intensity in battlegrounds remain the key variables that could push totals higher or keep them closer to 2022 levels near 114 million.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$29,233結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETIntense nationalization of the 2026 House contests, driven by President Trump’s sub-50% approval ratings and a Democratic generic ballot lead of roughly 6–8 points, is sustaining elevated mobilization on both sides and anchoring trader expectations in the 115–130 million vote range. Record House retirements, dozens of competitive districts, and Democratic overperformance in recent special elections and primaries have signaled stronger base engagement than typical midterms. Expanded mail and early voting access from prior cycles raises the participation floor, while economic sentiment, campaign spending surges, and get-out-the-vote intensity in battlegrounds remain the key variables that could push totals higher or keep them closer to 2022 levels near 114 million.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions