Dalton Eatherly, known online as Chud the Builder, faces attempted murder and related felony charges stemming from a May 2026 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, where he claims self-defense after an altercation. Traders assign an 86.5% implied probability to no conviction primarily because the case remains in its earliest pretrial phase, with Eatherly only recently released on a $1 million bond after months in custody and no grand jury indictment or trial date set. Supporting factors include the high evidentiary threshold for proving intent in such shootings, documented self-defense assertions in court filings, and ongoing bond proceedings that signal judicial caution rather than overwhelming prosecutorial momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include any grand jury review, discovery disclosures, or motions that could clarify the strength of the state's case against the livestreamer.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
市場開放時間: May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly, known online as Chud the Builder, faces attempted murder and related felony charges stemming from a May 2026 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, where he claims self-defense after an altercation. Traders assign an 86.5% implied probability to no conviction primarily because the case remains in its earliest pretrial phase, with Eatherly only recently released on a $1 million bond after months in custody and no grand jury indictment or trial date set. Supporting factors include the high evidentiary threshold for proving intent in such shootings, documented self-defense assertions in court filings, and ongoing bond proceedings that signal judicial caution rather than overwhelming prosecutorial momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include any grand jury review, discovery disclosures, or motions that could clarify the strength of the state's case against the livestreamer.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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