Discord’s confidential IPO filing in January 2026, followed by the appointment of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters, has established a credible path to public markets, yet the lack of a subsequent public S-1 filing or confirmed pricing date has kept the probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, at 81%. Secondary-market trading continues to imply an enterprise value near $7 billion, well below the $15 billion private valuation from 2021, reflecting tempered investor expectations amid $600–725 million in 2024 revenue and modest monetization progress relative to user engagement. Market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $15 billion remain below 10%, consistent with analyst ranges of $6–10 billion at 7–12x sales multiples. Traders are now focused on whether a public filing emerges before quarter-end, as any delay would further reinforce the dominant no-IPO outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO） 81%
低於150億 5.3%
150–200億 4.2%
250–300 億 2.3%
$893,418 交易量
$893,418 交易量
2026-06-30
低於150億
5%
150–200億
4%
200–250 億
<1%
250–300 億
2%
300 億美元以上
1%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO）
81%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO） 81%
低於150億 5.3%
150–200億 4.2%
250–300 億 2.3%
$893,418 交易量
$893,418 交易量
2026-06-30
低於150億
$298,524 交易量
5%
150–200億
$109,446 交易量
4%
200–250 億
$74,413 交易量
<1%
250–300 億
$114,020 交易量
2%
300 億美元以上
$102,595 交易量
1%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO）
$194,421 交易量
81%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential IPO filing in January 2026, followed by the appointment of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters, has established a credible path to public markets, yet the lack of a subsequent public S-1 filing or confirmed pricing date has kept the probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, at 81%. Secondary-market trading continues to imply an enterprise value near $7 billion, well below the $15 billion private valuation from 2021, reflecting tempered investor expectations amid $600–725 million in 2024 revenue and modest monetization progress relative to user engagement. Market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $15 billion remain below 10%, consistent with analyst ranges of $6–10 billion at 7–12x sales multiples. Traders are now focused on whether a public filing emerges before quarter-end, as any delay would further reinforce the dominant no-IPO outcome.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$893,418結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential IPO filing in January 2026, followed by the appointment of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters, has established a credible path to public markets, yet the lack of a subsequent public S-1 filing or confirmed pricing date has kept the probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, at 81%. Secondary-market trading continues to imply an enterprise value near $7 billion, well below the $15 billion private valuation from 2021, reflecting tempered investor expectations amid $600–725 million in 2024 revenue and modest monetization progress relative to user engagement. Market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $15 billion remain below 10%, consistent with analyst ranges of $6–10 billion at 7–12x sales multiples. Traders are now focused on whether a public filing emerges before quarter-end, as any delay would further reinforce the dominant no-IPO outcome.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$893,418結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Discord’s confidential IPO filing in January 2026, followed by the appointment of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters, has established a credible path to public markets, yet the lack of a subsequent public S-1 filing or confirmed pricing date has kept the probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, at 81%. Secondary-market trading continues to imply an enterprise value near $7 billion, well below the $15 billion private valuation from 2021, reflecting tempered investor expectations amid $600–725 million in 2024 revenue and modest monetization progress relative to user engagement. Market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $15 billion remain below 10%, consistent with analyst ranges of $6–10 billion at 7–12x sales multiples. Traders are now focused on whether a public filing emerges before quarter-end, as any delay would further reinforce the dominant no-IPO outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions