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icon for Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？
政治·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？

icon for Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？
政治·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？

7月 1

8月 1

7月 1

8月 1

880-919 7.0%

960-999 7.0%

920-959 6.9%

840-879 6.6%

Polymarket

$321,819 交易量

880-919 7.0%

960-999 7.0%

920-959 6.9%

840-879 6.6%

Polymarket

$321,819 交易量

<20

$40,401 交易量

<1%

20-39

$5,932 交易量

<1%

40-59

$280 交易量

<1%

60-79

$4,475 交易量

<1%

80-99

$1,400 交易量

<1%

100-119

$2,277 交易量

<1%

120-139

$2,551 交易量

<1%

140-159

$1,395 交易量

<1%

160-179

$1,292 交易量

<1%

180-199

$2,714 交易量

<1%

200-219

$3,686 交易量

<1%

220-239

$5,109 交易量

<1%

240-259

$5,733 交易量

<1%

260-279

$7,778 交易量

<1%

280-299

$12,769 交易量

<1%

300-319

$12,936 交易量

<1%

320-339

$5,394 交易量

<1%

340-359

$7,102 交易量

<1%

360-379

$13,519 交易量

<1%

380-399

$12,719 交易量

<1%

400-419

$8,911 交易量

<1%

420-439

$9,428 交易量

<1%

440-459

$9,277 交易量

<1%

460-479

$10,134 交易量

<1%

480-499

$3,451 交易量

<1%

500-519

$6,125 交易量

1%

520-539

$6,194 交易量

1%

540-559

$6,020 交易量

1%

560-579

$6,341 交易量

1%

580-599

$5,496 交易量

1%

600-639

$4,761 交易量

2%

640-679

$6,346 交易量

2%

680-719

$3,405 交易量

4%

720-759

$4,099 交易量

5%

760-799

$3,604 交易量

5%

800-839

$7,668 交易量

6%

840-879

$8,841 交易量

7%

880-919

$13,392 交易量

7%

920-959

$7,851 交易量

7%

960-999

$6,842 交易量

7%

1000-1039

$4,154 交易量

6%

1040-1079

$4,302 交易量

6%

1080-1119

$3,840 交易量

5%

1120-1159

$3,288 交易量

4%

1160-1199

$2,485 交易量

3%

1200-1239

$2,639 交易量

3%

1240-1279

$2,161 交易量

2%

1280-1319

$2,336 交易量

2%

1320-1359

$2,775 交易量

2%

1360-1399

$3,513 交易量

2%

1400+

$2,679 交易量

6%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting frequency on X reflects fluctuating daily output shaped by business priorities at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, alongside platform engagement patterns. Recent months show variable volume, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the 840-879 and 880-919 ranges amid a broad distribution that peaks modestly above 800 while extending into higher and lower brackets. July’s calendar, including the U.S. holiday period, often correlates with moderated activity compared to peak months, yet sustained high-engagement streaks or product announcements can push totals toward 1,000+. Key differentiators among leading ranges center on whether baseline daily averages near 25-30 persist or whether concentrated reply threads and news-driven surges consolidate support for mid-800s or low-900s outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$321,819
結束日期
2026-08-01
市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting frequency on X reflects fluctuating daily output shaped by business priorities at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, alongside platform engagement patterns. Recent months show variable volume, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the 840-879 and 880-919 ranges amid a broad distribution that peaks modestly above 800 while extending into higher and lower brackets. July’s calendar, including the U.S. holiday period, often correlates with moderated activity compared to peak months, yet sustained high-engagement streaks or product announcements can push totals toward 1,000+. Key differentiators among leading ranges center on whether baseline daily averages near 25-30 persist or whether concentrated reply threads and news-driven surges consolidate support for mid-800s or low-900s outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$321,819
結束日期
2026-08-01
市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 51+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "840-879" at 7%, followed by "880-919" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？" has generated $321.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？," browse the 51+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？" is "840-879" at just 7%, with "880-919" close behind at 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.