Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X through mid-May has positioned the 200-219 tweet range as the clear market frontrunner, reflecting his typical pattern of frequent engagement with company milestones, AI topics, and cultural commentary. Recent activity tied to Tesla’s FSD v14.3.3 rollout, Starship V3 preparations, and pointed exchanges on political incentives has sustained momentum without major slowdowns, aligning trader consensus with observed daily volume. As the May 12–19 window closes, final-day replies and media shares could nudge totals toward the upper end of that band or trigger a late surge if breaking news prompts additional threads. Historical weekly averages around 25–35 posts per day continue to anchor expectations, underscoring how Musk’s real-time platform presence directly shapes these implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於200-219 47.8%
180-199 26.4%
220-239 22.4%
240-259 3.5%
$9,879,469 交易量
$9,879,469 交易量
2026-05-19
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
26%
200-219
48%
220-239
22%
240-259
3%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 47.8%
180-199 26.4%
220-239 22.4%
240-259 3.5%
$9,879,469 交易量
$9,879,469 交易量
2026-05-19
140-159
$720,063 交易量
<1%
160-179
$520,264 交易量
1%
180-199
$402,454 交易量
26%
200-219
$380,903 交易量
48%
220-239
$423,200 交易量
22%
240-259
$328,101 交易量
3%
260-279
$310,119 交易量
1%
280-299
$284,257 交易量
<1%
300-319
$331,738 交易量
<1%
320-339
$406,255 交易量
<1%
340-359
$431,349 交易量
<1%
360-379
$416,804 交易量
<1%
380-399
$400,329 交易量
<1%
400-419
$551,578 交易量
<1%
420-439
$157,847 交易量
<1%
440-459
$82,158 交易量
<1%
460-479
$67,054 交易量
<1%
480-499
$29,200 交易量
<1%
500+
$241,779 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X through mid-May has positioned the 200-219 tweet range as the clear market frontrunner, reflecting his typical pattern of frequent engagement with company milestones, AI topics, and cultural commentary. Recent activity tied to Tesla’s FSD v14.3.3 rollout, Starship V3 preparations, and pointed exchanges on political incentives has sustained momentum without major slowdowns, aligning trader consensus with observed daily volume. As the May 12–19 window closes, final-day replies and media shares could nudge totals toward the upper end of that band or trigger a late surge if breaking news prompts additional threads. Historical weekly averages around 25–35 posts per day continue to anchor expectations, underscoring how Musk’s real-time platform presence directly shapes these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
交易量
$9,879,469結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X through mid-May has positioned the 200-219 tweet range as the clear market frontrunner, reflecting his typical pattern of frequent engagement with company milestones, AI topics, and cultural commentary. Recent activity tied to Tesla’s FSD v14.3.3 rollout, Starship V3 preparations, and pointed exchanges on political incentives has sustained momentum without major slowdowns, aligning trader consensus with observed daily volume. As the May 12–19 window closes, final-day replies and media shares could nudge totals toward the upper end of that band or trigger a late surge if breaking news prompts additional threads. Historical weekly averages around 25–35 posts per day continue to anchor expectations, underscoring how Musk’s real-time platform presence directly shapes these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$9,879,469結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X through mid-May has positioned the 200-219 tweet range as the clear market frontrunner, reflecting his typical pattern of frequent engagement with company milestones, AI topics, and cultural commentary. Recent activity tied to Tesla’s FSD v14.3.3 rollout, Starship V3 preparations, and pointed exchanges on political incentives has sustained momentum without major slowdowns, aligning trader consensus with observed daily volume. As the May 12–19 window closes, final-day replies and media shares could nudge totals toward the upper end of that band or trigger a late surge if breaking news prompts additional threads. Historical weekly averages around 25–35 posts per day continue to anchor expectations, underscoring how Musk’s real-time platform presence directly shapes these implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions