Elon Musk’s posting pace in the current window aligns closely with his established weekly average on X, positioning the 180-199 range as the clear market leader. Recent activity, including a burst of 62 posts on May 13 and sustained engagement around Grok updates and platform milestones through May 17, has reinforced trader expectations without triggering the spikes that would shift volume into higher brackets. With the period closing May 19, any late-week developments in AI announcements or cultural commentary could still nudge totals, yet the current trajectory and historical precedent keep the frontrunner bin firmly in place at 45.6% implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於180-199 45.6%
200-219 31.4%
220-239 11.6%
160-179 4.8%
$9,654,270 交易量
$9,654,270 交易量
2026-05-19
140-159
<1%
160-179
5%
180-199
46%
200-219
31%
220-239
12%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 45.6%
200-219 31.4%
220-239 11.6%
160-179 4.8%
$9,654,270 交易量
$9,654,270 交易量
2026-05-19
140-159
$709,013 交易量
<1%
160-179
$468,046 交易量
5%
180-199
$370,248 交易量
46%
200-219
$357,431 交易量
31%
220-239
$380,376 交易量
12%
240-259
$309,971 交易量
2%
260-279
$294,954 交易量
1%
280-299
$271,112 交易量
<1%
300-319
$323,286 交易量
<1%
320-339
$400,517 交易量
<1%
340-359
$431,224 交易量
<1%
360-379
$416,794 交易量
<1%
380-399
$400,319 交易量
<1%
400-419
$544,870 交易量
<1%
420-439
$157,801 交易量
<1%
440-459
$82,148 交易量
<1%
460-479
$67,044 交易量
<1%
480-499
$29,190 交易量
<1%
500+
$241,769 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace in the current window aligns closely with his established weekly average on X, positioning the 180-199 range as the clear market leader. Recent activity, including a burst of 62 posts on May 13 and sustained engagement around Grok updates and platform milestones through May 17, has reinforced trader expectations without triggering the spikes that would shift volume into higher brackets. With the period closing May 19, any late-week developments in AI announcements or cultural commentary could still nudge totals, yet the current trajectory and historical precedent keep the frontrunner bin firmly in place at 45.6% implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
交易量
$9,654,270結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace in the current window aligns closely with his established weekly average on X, positioning the 180-199 range as the clear market leader. Recent activity, including a burst of 62 posts on May 13 and sustained engagement around Grok updates and platform milestones through May 17, has reinforced trader expectations without triggering the spikes that would shift volume into higher brackets. With the period closing May 19, any late-week developments in AI announcements or cultural commentary could still nudge totals, yet the current trajectory and historical precedent keep the frontrunner bin firmly in place at 45.6% implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$9,654,270結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting pace in the current window aligns closely with his established weekly average on X, positioning the 180-199 range as the clear market leader. Recent activity, including a burst of 62 posts on May 13 and sustained engagement around Grok updates and platform milestones through May 17, has reinforced trader expectations without triggering the spikes that would shift volume into higher brackets. With the period closing May 19, any late-week developments in AI announcements or cultural commentary could still nudge totals, yet the current trajectory and historical precedent keep the frontrunner bin firmly in place at 45.6% implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions