Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 120-159 X posts by Elon Musk from May 15-22, with 120-139 leading at 18% implied probability, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting pace of roughly 17 per day—222 confirmed through May 13 amid ongoing tech updates, political commentary, and viral memes. This marks continuity from early May markets, where similar weekly ranges resolved amid consistent engagement, but competitive dynamics hinge on event-driven swings: SpaceX or Tesla announcements could spike toward 160+, while quieter news cycles pull below 120. As the window opens in two days, traders eye daily trajectories for momentum shifts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in capturing his unpredictable pop culture rhythm.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於120-139 18%
140-159 16%
100-119 15%
160-179 11%
最新
$513,769 交易量
最新
$513,769 交易量
2026-05-22
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
10%
100-119
15%
120-139
18%
140-159
16%
160-179
11%
180-199
8%
200-219
5%
220-239
4%
240-259
3%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
120-139 18%
140-159 16%
100-119 15%
160-179 11%
最新
$513,769 交易量
最新
$513,769 交易量
2026-05-22
<20
$78,051 交易量
<1%
20-39
$76,693 交易量
<1%
40-59
$23,290 交易量
1%
60-79
$23,035 交易量
3%
80-99
$10,166 交易量
10%
100-119
$14,871 交易量
15%
120-139
$8,593 交易量
18%
140-159
$7,927 交易量
16%
160-179
$5,727 交易量
11%
180-199
$8,681 交易量
8%
200-219
$8,985 交易量
5%
220-239
$6,885 交易量
4%
240-259
$5,236 交易量
3%
260-279
$5,381 交易量
2%
280-299
$5,013 交易量
1%
300-319
$5,451 交易量
1%
320-339
$6,052 交易量
1%
340-359
$5,216 交易量
1%
360-379
$3,973 交易量
<1%
380-399
$3,438 交易量
<1%
400-419
$6,276 交易量
<1%
420-439
$4,194 交易量
<1%
440-459
$11,430 交易量
<1%
460-479
$25,739 交易量
<1%
480-499
$50,128 交易量
<1%
500+
$103,450 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 120-159 X posts by Elon Musk from May 15-22, with 120-139 leading at 18% implied probability, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting pace of roughly 17 per day—222 confirmed through May 13 amid ongoing tech updates, political commentary, and viral memes. This marks continuity from early May markets, where similar weekly ranges resolved amid consistent engagement, but competitive dynamics hinge on event-driven swings: SpaceX or Tesla announcements could spike toward 160+, while quieter news cycles pull below 120. As the window opens in two days, traders eye daily trajectories for momentum shifts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in capturing his unpredictable pop culture rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$513,769結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 120-159 X posts by Elon Musk from May 15-22, with 120-139 leading at 18% implied probability, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting pace of roughly 17 per day—222 confirmed through May 13 amid ongoing tech updates, political commentary, and viral memes. This marks continuity from early May markets, where similar weekly ranges resolved amid consistent engagement, but competitive dynamics hinge on event-driven swings: SpaceX or Tesla announcements could spike toward 160+, while quieter news cycles pull below 120. As the window opens in two days, traders eye daily trajectories for momentum shifts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in capturing his unpredictable pop culture rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$513,769結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 120-159 X posts by Elon Musk from May 15-22, with 120-139 leading at 18% implied probability, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting pace of roughly 17 per day—222 confirmed through May 13 amid ongoing tech updates, political commentary, and viral memes. This marks continuity from early May markets, where similar weekly ranges resolved amid consistent engagement, but competitive dynamics hinge on event-driven swings: SpaceX or Tesla announcements could spike toward 160+, while quieter news cycles pull below 120. As the window opens in two days, traders eye daily trajectories for momentum shifts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in capturing his unpredictable pop culture rhythm.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions