Traders see the tight race between the 220-239 and 240-259 tweet bins as a reflection of Elon Musk’s typical X activity during a standard week without major product launches or breaking industry events. Historical posting patterns show daily volumes often hovering in the low-to-mid thirties when Musk focuses on replies, memes, and commentary rather than long threads. With the May 15-22 window now halfway complete, early-week engagement levels have kept the market-implied odds clustered around a 230-250 total, leaving room for modest daily fluctuations to decide the final range. Upcoming chart updates or any sudden surge in replies to high-profile posts could still shift momentum between these two leading outcomes before the period closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於220-239 23.4%
240-259 23.1%
200-219 15.8%
260-279 14.3%
$4,779,405 交易量
$4,779,405 交易量
2026-05-22
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
3%
180-199
8%
200-219
16%
220-239
23%
240-259
23%
260-279
14%
280-299
7%
300-319
3%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
220-239 23.4%
240-259 23.1%
200-219 15.8%
260-279 14.3%
$4,779,405 交易量
$4,779,405 交易量
2026-05-22
100-119
$276,444 交易量
<1%
120-139
$207,507 交易量
<1%
140-159
$190,341 交易量
<1%
160-179
$155,324 交易量
3%
180-199
$145,912 交易量
8%
200-219
$190,535 交易量
16%
220-239
$176,687 交易量
23%
240-259
$132,796 交易量
23%
260-279
$141,225 交易量
14%
280-299
$126,977 交易量
7%
300-319
$149,639 交易量
3%
320-339
$134,988 交易量
2%
340-359
$151,473 交易量
1%
360-379
$144,813 交易量
<1%
380-399
$168,382 交易量
<1%
400-419
$209,722 交易量
<1%
420-439
$268,929 交易量
<1%
440-459
$128,769 交易量
<1%
460-479
$131,876 交易量
<1%
480-499
$206,182 交易量
<1%
500+
$293,799 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the tight race between the 220-239 and 240-259 tweet bins as a reflection of Elon Musk’s typical X activity during a standard week without major product launches or breaking industry events. Historical posting patterns show daily volumes often hovering in the low-to-mid thirties when Musk focuses on replies, memes, and commentary rather than long threads. With the May 15-22 window now halfway complete, early-week engagement levels have kept the market-implied odds clustered around a 230-250 total, leaving room for modest daily fluctuations to decide the final range. Upcoming chart updates or any sudden surge in replies to high-profile posts could still shift momentum between these two leading outcomes before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$4,779,405結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the tight race between the 220-239 and 240-259 tweet bins as a reflection of Elon Musk’s typical X activity during a standard week without major product launches or breaking industry events. Historical posting patterns show daily volumes often hovering in the low-to-mid thirties when Musk focuses on replies, memes, and commentary rather than long threads. With the May 15-22 window now halfway complete, early-week engagement levels have kept the market-implied odds clustered around a 230-250 total, leaving room for modest daily fluctuations to decide the final range. Upcoming chart updates or any sudden surge in replies to high-profile posts could still shift momentum between these two leading outcomes before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$4,779,405結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the tight race between the 220-239 and 240-259 tweet bins as a reflection of Elon Musk’s typical X activity during a standard week without major product launches or breaking industry events. Historical posting patterns show daily volumes often hovering in the low-to-mid thirties when Musk focuses on replies, memes, and commentary rather than long threads. With the May 15-22 window now halfway complete, early-week engagement levels have kept the market-implied odds clustered around a 230-250 total, leaving room for modest daily fluctuations to decide the final range. Upcoming chart updates or any sudden surge in replies to high-profile posts could still shift momentum between these two leading outcomes before the period closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions