Trader consensus for the Elon Musk tweet volume market strongly favors the 40-64 range at 61.5% implied probability, driven by his consistent daily posting rhythm on X amid routine business updates and public commentary. Recent activity shows steady output without major spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies, aligning with historical patterns of 13–21 tweets per day during quieter stretches. The three-day window through May 18 keeps extreme totals unlikely, though any breaking industry news could shift momentum. This reflects traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment of his established cultural presence as a prolific poster rather than event-driven surges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於40-64 62%
65-89 34%
90-114 3.1%
少於40 <1%
$655,139 交易量
$655,139 交易量
2026-05-18
少於40
1%
40-64
62%
65-89
34%
90-114
3%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 62%
65-89 34%
90-114 3.1%
少於40 <1%
$655,139 交易量
$655,139 交易量
2026-05-18
少於40
$199,561 交易量
1%
40-64
$55,997 交易量
62%
65-89
$63,103 交易量
34%
90-114
$85,458 交易量
3%
115-139
$65,045 交易量
<1%
140-164
$61,100 交易量
<1%
165-189
$53,265 交易量
<1%
190-214
$37,343 交易量
<1%
215-239
$15,853 交易量
<1%
240+
$18,696 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus for the Elon Musk tweet volume market strongly favors the 40-64 range at 61.5% implied probability, driven by his consistent daily posting rhythm on X amid routine business updates and public commentary. Recent activity shows steady output without major spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies, aligning with historical patterns of 13–21 tweets per day during quieter stretches. The three-day window through May 18 keeps extreme totals unlikely, though any breaking industry news could shift momentum. This reflects traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment of his established cultural presence as a prolific poster rather than event-driven surges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$655,139結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus for the Elon Musk tweet volume market strongly favors the 40-64 range at 61.5% implied probability, driven by his consistent daily posting rhythm on X amid routine business updates and public commentary. Recent activity shows steady output without major spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies, aligning with historical patterns of 13–21 tweets per day during quieter stretches. The three-day window through May 18 keeps extreme totals unlikely, though any breaking industry news could shift momentum. This reflects traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment of his established cultural presence as a prolific poster rather than event-driven surges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$655,139結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the Elon Musk tweet volume market strongly favors the 40-64 range at 61.5% implied probability, driven by his consistent daily posting rhythm on X amid routine business updates and public commentary. Recent activity shows steady output without major spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies, aligning with historical patterns of 13–21 tweets per day during quieter stretches. The three-day window through May 18 keeps extreme totals unlikely, though any breaking industry news could shift momentum. This reflects traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment of his established cultural presence as a prolific poster rather than event-driven surges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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