Traders are currently favoring the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk over the May 18-20 window, reflecting his typical weekend pace amid ongoing engagement with political and cultural debates. Recent activity shows steady but not peak volume, with multiple daily posts on topics like free speech and industry commentary, aligning with historical patterns that rarely spike above 65 in a three-day stretch unless major news breaks. Upcoming catalysts include any fresh Tesla or SpaceX updates that could accelerate his replies and original posts, though no specific announcements are confirmed yet. Market-implied odds position this mid-range as the consensus baseline while leaving room for variability driven by real-time events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於40-64 55%
65-89 25%
少於40條 17%
90-114 6%
最新
$42,563 交易量
最新
$42,563 交易量
2026-05-20
少於40條
17%
40-64
55%
65-89
25%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 55%
65-89 25%
少於40條 17%
90-114 6%
最新
$42,563 交易量
最新
$42,563 交易量
2026-05-20
少於40條
$2,317 交易量
17%
40-64
$3,764 交易量
55%
65-89
$2,931 交易量
25%
90-114
$5,461 交易量
6%
115-139
$4,163 交易量
1%
140-164
$2,611 交易量
<1%
165-189
$4,437 交易量
<1%
190-214
$4,276 交易量
<1%
215-239
$6,406 交易量
<1%
240+
$6,196 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are currently favoring the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk over the May 18-20 window, reflecting his typical weekend pace amid ongoing engagement with political and cultural debates. Recent activity shows steady but not peak volume, with multiple daily posts on topics like free speech and industry commentary, aligning with historical patterns that rarely spike above 65 in a three-day stretch unless major news breaks. Upcoming catalysts include any fresh Tesla or SpaceX updates that could accelerate his replies and original posts, though no specific announcements are confirmed yet. Market-implied odds position this mid-range as the consensus baseline while leaving room for variability driven by real-time events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
交易量
$42,563結束日期
2026-05-20市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are currently favoring the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk over the May 18-20 window, reflecting his typical weekend pace amid ongoing engagement with political and cultural debates. Recent activity shows steady but not peak volume, with multiple daily posts on topics like free speech and industry commentary, aligning with historical patterns that rarely spike above 65 in a three-day stretch unless major news breaks. Upcoming catalysts include any fresh Tesla or SpaceX updates that could accelerate his replies and original posts, though no specific announcements are confirmed yet. Market-implied odds position this mid-range as the consensus baseline while leaving room for variability driven by real-time events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$42,563結束日期
2026-05-20市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETTraders are currently favoring the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk over the May 18-20 window, reflecting his typical weekend pace amid ongoing engagement with political and cultural debates. Recent activity shows steady but not peak volume, with multiple daily posts on topics like free speech and industry commentary, aligning with historical patterns that rarely spike above 65 in a three-day stretch unless major news breaks. Upcoming catalysts include any fresh Tesla or SpaceX updates that could accelerate his replies and original posts, though no specific announcements are confirmed yet. Market-implied odds position this mid-range as the consensus baseline while leaving room for variability driven by real-time events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions