Traders are favoring the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk’s activity on X over the May 18-20 window, reflecting his established baseline of moderate daily posting during periods without major breaking events. Recent weeks have featured steady volumes driven by ongoing commentary on politics, AI developments, and company milestones, yet nothing in the immediate forecast points to a surge or slowdown that would push totals outside this bracket. Historical patterns show Musk typically maintains consistent engagement on weekends absent high-profile triggers, and the market-implied odds capture this consensus backed by real capital. Any unexpected announcements from Tesla or SpaceX could still alter the trajectory before the period closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於40-64 56%
65-89 25%
少於40條 17%
90-114 5%
$44,832 交易量
$44,832 交易量
少於40條
17%
40-64
56%
65-89
25%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 56%
65-89 25%
少於40條 17%
90-114 5%
$44,832 交易量
$44,832 交易量
少於40條
17%
40-64
56%
65-89
25%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Traders are favoring the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk’s activity on X over the May 18-20 window, reflecting his established baseline of moderate daily posting during periods without major breaking events. Recent weeks have featured steady volumes driven by ongoing commentary on politics, AI developments, and company milestones, yet nothing in the immediate forecast points to a surge or slowdown that would push totals outside this bracket. Historical patterns show Musk typically maintains consistent engagement on weekends absent high-profile triggers, and the market-implied odds capture this consensus backed by real capital. Any unexpected announcements from Tesla or SpaceX could still alter the trajectory before the period closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions