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icon for Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ?

Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ?

icon for Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ?

Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ?

6月 1

6月 1

840-879 11.9%

800-839 10.5%

920-959 10.0%

880-919 9.4%

Polymarket

$3,150,635 交易量

840-879 11.9%

800-839 10.5%

920-959 10.0%

880-919 9.4%

Polymarket

$3,150,635 交易量

340-359

$69,472 交易量

<1%

360-379

$55,291 交易量

<1%

380-399

$58,220 交易量

<1%

400-419

$56,871 交易量

<1%

420-439

$43,409 交易量

<1%

440-459

$54,448 交易量

<1%

460-479

$63,303 交易量

<1%

480-499

$58,382 交易量

<1%

500-519

$64,925 交易量

<1%

520-539

$53,161 交易量

<1%

540-559

$45,810 交易量

1%

560-579

$43,735 交易量

1%

580-599

$49,462 交易量

1%

600-619

$43,146 交易量

1%

620-639

$39,650 交易量

1%

640-659

$44,359 交易量

2%

660-679

$38,150 交易量

2%

680-699

$34,878 交易量

3%

700-719

$46,047 交易量

4%

720-739

$48,036 交易量

4%

740-759

$39,816 交易量

6%

760-779

$41,038 交易量

5%

780-799

$43,951 交易量

7%

800-839

$46,099 交易量

11%

840-879

$36,714 交易量

12%

880-919

$40,160 交易量

9%

920-959

$37,523 交易量

10%

960-999

$35,340 交易量

8%

1000-1039

$36,121 交易量

5%

1040-1079

$33,379 交易量

4%

1080-1119

$40,136 交易量

2%

1120-1159

$50,723 交易量

1%

1160-1199

$56,655 交易量

<1%

1200-1239

$55,495 交易量

<1%

1240-1279

$67,489 交易量

<1%

1280-1319

$59,982 交易量

<1%

1320-1359

$59,746 交易量

<1%

1360-1399

$44,609 交易量

<1%

1400-1439

$74,110 交易量

<1%

1440-1479

$45,365 交易量

<1%

1480-1519

$25,045 交易量

<1%

1520-1559

$27,191 交易量

<1%

1560-1599

$32,981 交易量

<1%

1600-1679

$39,619 交易量

<1%

1680-1759

$40,902 交易量

<1%

1760-1839

$34,463 交易量

<1%

1840-1919

$27,564 交易量

<1%

1920-1999

$62,382 交易量

<1%

2000+

$292,699 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a wide spread of probabilities across several hundred-tweet brackets because Elon Musk’s monthly output on X remains highly variable and sensitive to real-time events. His posting pace often accelerates during major Tesla or SpaceX updates, regulatory developments, or political commentary, while slowing during travel or focused project periods. With roughly half of May already elapsed, the current trajectory suggests a total near the upper end of historical ranges, yet fresh announcements or controversies could easily add or subtract hundreds of posts before the month closes. This uncertainty keeps multiple adjacent ranges within a few percentage points of one another.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,150,635
結束日期
2026-06-01
市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a wide spread of probabilities across several hundred-tweet brackets because Elon Musk’s monthly output on X remains highly variable and sensitive to real-time events. His posting pace often accelerates during major Tesla or SpaceX updates, regulatory developments, or political commentary, while slowing during travel or focused project periods. With roughly half of May already elapsed, the current trajectory suggests a total near the upper end of historical ranges, yet fresh announcements or controversies could easily add or subtract hundreds of posts before the month closes. This uncertainty keeps multiple adjacent ranges within a few percentage points of one another.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,150,635
結束日期
2026-06-01
市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "840-879" at 12%, followed by "800-839" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ?" has generated $3.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ?," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ?" is "840-879" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "800-839" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.