Elon Musk’s established X posting rhythm and early May 2026 activity levels are anchoring trader consensus around the 800–900 tweet range. With the leading bins tightly clustered, markets are pricing in his recent daily average of roughly 25–30 posts while weighing potential surges from Tesla product updates, xAI milestones, or breaking political commentary against possible slowdowns during travel or focused operational stretches. Historical monthly totals and the remaining two weeks of the period serve as the primary swing factors, as traders monitor whether engagement spikes or quieter stretches push the final count into adjacent bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於840-879 12.2%
800-839 10.6%
920-959 9.9%
880-919 9.7%
$3,146,952 交易量
$3,146,952 交易量
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
2%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
6%
760-779
6%
780-799
7%
800-839
11%
840-879
12%
880-919
10%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840-879 12.2%
800-839 10.6%
920-959 9.9%
880-919 9.7%
$3,146,952 交易量
$3,146,952 交易量
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
2%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
6%
760-779
6%
780-799
7%
800-839
11%
840-879
12%
880-919
10%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established X posting rhythm and early May 2026 activity levels are anchoring trader consensus around the 800–900 tweet range. With the leading bins tightly clustered, markets are pricing in his recent daily average of roughly 25–30 posts while weighing potential surges from Tesla product updates, xAI milestones, or breaking political commentary against possible slowdowns during travel or focused operational stretches. Historical monthly totals and the remaining two weeks of the period serve as the primary swing factors, as traders monitor whether engagement spikes or quieter stretches push the final count into adjacent bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions