Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於840-879 11.8%
800-839 10.5%
920-959 9.8%
880-919 9.4%
$3,151,222 交易量
$3,151,222 交易量
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
6%
760-779
5%
780-799
7%
800-839
11%
840-879
12%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840-879 11.8%
800-839 10.5%
920-959 9.8%
880-919 9.4%
$3,151,222 交易量
$3,151,222 交易量
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
6%
760-779
5%
780-799
7%
800-839
11%
840-879
12%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions