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icon for Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ？
政治·文化

Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ？

icon for Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ？
政治·文化

Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ？

6月 1

6月 1

TWEET COUNT
264
剩餘時間
TWEETS
264
剩餘時間

560-579 7.4%

600-619 7.3%

660-679 6.9%

580-599 6.8%

Polymarket

$2,161,818 交易量

560-579 7.4%

600-619 7.3%

660-679 6.9%

580-599 6.8%

Polymarket

$2,161,818 交易量

160-179

$61,932 交易量

<1%

180-199

$14,180 交易量

<1%

200-219

$14,579 交易量

<1%

220-239

$29,012 交易量

<1%

240-259

$45,475 交易量

<1%

260-279

$44,029 交易量

<1%

280-299

$64,879 交易量

<1%

300-319

$59,204 交易量

<1%

320-339

$53,107 交易量

<1%

340-359

$58,397 交易量

<1%

360-379

$48,459 交易量

<1%

380-399

$30,137 交易量

1%

400-419

$48,170 交易量

2%

420-439

$35,074 交易量

1%

440-459

$47,215 交易量

3%

460-479

$43,704 交易量

3%

480-499

$45,955 交易量

4%

500-519

$47,773 交易量

6%

520-539

$35,468 交易量

6%

540-559

$21,854 交易量

7%

560-579

$19,269 交易量

7%

580-599

$23,702 交易量

7%

600-619

$24,822 交易量

7%

620-639

$24,316 交易量

6%

640-659

$21,541 交易量

7%

660-679

$19,452 交易量

7%

680-699

$16,414 交易量

5%

700-719

$27,578 交易量

4%

720-739

$21,382 交易量

3%

740-759

$22,063 交易量

3%

760-779

$22,845 交易量

2%

780-799

$23,278 交易量

2%

800-839

$24,688 交易量

2%

840-879

$17,132 交易量

2%

880-919

$17,970 交易量

2%

920-959

$18,905 交易量

1%

960-999

$28,345 交易量

<1%

1000-1039

$27,344 交易量

<1%

1040-1079

$30,528 交易量

<1%

1080-1119

$35,031 交易量

<1%

1120-1159

$39,286 交易量

<1%

1160-1199

$48,085 交易量

<1%

1200-1239

$48,412 交易量

<1%

1240-1279

$51,289 交易量

<1%

1280-1319

$37,569 交易量

<1%

1320-1359

$42,355 交易量

<1%

1360-1399

$39,315 交易量

<1%

1400-1439

$56,725 交易量

<1%

1440-1479

$35,979 交易量

<1%

1480-1519

$20,566 交易量

<1%

1520-1559

$25,710 交易量

<1%

1560-1599

$31,501 交易量

<1%

1600-1679

$38,619 交易量

<1%

1680-1759

$39,902 交易量

<1%

1760-1839

$33,463 交易量

<1%

1840-1919

$26,155 交易量

<1%

1920-1999

$34,385 交易量

<1%

2000+

$45,187 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 500–700 posts for Elon Musk's May 2026 X activity, reflecting his recent dip to an average of 17 non-reply posts per day—down from earlier highs—as seen in resolved submarkets like May 5–12 (under 120) and ongoing trackers showing ~222 total through May 13. This pace projects ~530 for the full month, but competitive dynamics hinge on volatility: event-driven spikes from culture war commentary (e.g., recent Hollywood casting critiques on Nolan's The Odyssey) and political takes could push toward 600+, while his Air Force One trip to Beijing with Trump (May 13–15) introduces uncertainty over travel disruptions or heightened engagement. Daily fluctuations and reply exclusions amplify swings, with no clear frontrunner amid skin-in-the-game bets.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$2,161,818
結束日期
2026-06-01
市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 500–700 posts for Elon Musk's May 2026 X activity, reflecting his recent dip to an average of 17 non-reply posts per day—down from earlier highs—as seen in resolved submarkets like May 5–12 (under 120) and ongoing trackers showing ~222 total through May 13. This pace projects ~530 for the full month, but competitive dynamics hinge on volatility: event-driven spikes from culture war commentary (e.g., recent Hollywood casting critiques on Nolan's The Odyssey) and political takes could push toward 600+, while his Air Force One trip to Beijing with Trump (May 13–15) introduces uncertainty over travel disruptions or heightened engagement. Daily fluctuations and reply exclusions amplify swings, with no clear frontrunner amid skin-in-the-game bets.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$2,161,818
結束日期
2026-06-01
市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "540-559" at 7%, followed by "560-579" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ？" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ？," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ？" is "540-559" at just 7%, with "560-579" close behind at 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk Musk在2026年5月# tweets ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.