icon for Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月4日至5月6日？

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月4日至5月6日？

Ended: 5月 6

5月 18

5月 20

Ended: 5月 6

5月 18

5月 20

少於40條 100.0%

40-64 <1%

65-89 <1%

90-114 <1%

$1,700,997 交易量

$1,700,997 交易量

2026-05-06

少於40條

$565,000 交易量

是

40-64

$288,028 交易量

否

65-89

$375,994 交易量

否

90-114

$214,682 交易量

否

115-139

$104,206 交易量

否

140-164

$52,859 交易量

否

165-189

$26,195 交易量

否

190-214

$20,099 交易量

否

215-239

$23,840 交易量

否

240+

$30,094 交易量

否

少於40條 100.0%

40-64 <1%

65-89 <1%

90-114 <1%

$1,700,997 交易量

$1,700,997 交易量

2026-05-06

少於40條

$565,000 交易量

是

40-64

$288,028 交易量

否

65-89

$375,994 交易量

否

90-114

$214,682 交易量

否

115-139

$104,206 交易量

否

140-164

$52,859 交易量

否

165-189

$26,195 交易量

否

190-214

$20,099 交易量

否

215-239

$23,840 交易量

否

240+

$30,094 交易量

否

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 4 12:00 PM ET to May 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 4 12:00 PM ET to May 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月4日至5月6日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "少於40條" at 100%, followed by "40-64" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月4日至5月6日？" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月4日至5月6日？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月4日至5月6日？" is "少於40條" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-64" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月4日至5月6日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月4日至5月6日？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.7 million traded on “Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月4日至5月6日？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月4日至5月6日？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "少於40條" in the "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月4日至5月6日？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "少於40條" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月4日至5月6日？" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月4日至5月6日？" market has an active community of 10,498 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月4日至5月6日？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.