Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong subtropical high over southwestern China are anchoring trader sentiment around 40–41°C for Chongqing’s July 26 maximum, with recent red alerts and 40°C+ readings since July 10 reinforcing this range. Ensemble guidance from major models shows tight clustering near these values amid typical July climatology of 33–37°C highs, while urban heat-island effects and elevated humidity amplify daytime peaks. Slight spreads between 39°C and 42°C outcomes reflect uncertainties in exact cloud cover, wind shifts, or minor convective timing over the next 48 hours that could trim or boost insolation. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月26日重慶氣溫最高？
7月26日重慶氣溫最高？
40°C 27%
41°C 27%
39°C 21%
38°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
34°C or below
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
9%
38°C
12%
39°C
21%
40°C
27%
41°C
27%
42°C
16%
43°C
6%
44°C or higher
7%
40°C 27%
41°C 27%
39°C 21%
38°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
34°C or below
$32 交易量
1%
35°C
$110 交易量
1%
36°C
$0 交易量
2%
37°C
$0 交易量
9%
38°C
$6 交易量
12%
39°C
$0 交易量
21%
40°C
$6 交易量
27%
41°C
$38 交易量
27%
42°C
$20 交易量
16%
43°C
$16 交易量
6%
44°C or higher
$32 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong subtropical high over southwestern China are anchoring trader sentiment around 40–41°C for Chongqing’s July 26 maximum, with recent red alerts and 40°C+ readings since July 10 reinforcing this range. Ensemble guidance from major models shows tight clustering near these values amid typical July climatology of 33–37°C highs, while urban heat-island effects and elevated humidity amplify daytime peaks. Slight spreads between 39°C and 42°C outcomes reflect uncertainties in exact cloud cover, wind shifts, or minor convective timing over the next 48 hours that could trim or boost insolation. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$259結束日期
2026-07-26市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong subtropical high over southwestern China are anchoring trader sentiment around 40–41°C for Chongqing’s July 26 maximum, with recent red alerts and 40°C+ readings since July 10 reinforcing this range. Ensemble guidance from major models shows tight clustering near these values amid typical July climatology of 33–37°C highs, while urban heat-island effects and elevated humidity amplify daytime peaks. Slight spreads between 39°C and 42°C outcomes reflect uncertainties in exact cloud cover, wind shifts, or minor convective timing over the next 48 hours that could trim or boost insolation. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$259結束日期
2026-07-26市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETPersistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong subtropical high over southwestern China are anchoring trader sentiment around 40–41°C for Chongqing’s July 26 maximum, with recent red alerts and 40°C+ readings since July 10 reinforcing this range. Ensemble guidance from major models shows tight clustering near these values amid typical July climatology of 33–37°C highs, while urban heat-island effects and elevated humidity amplify daytime peaks. Slight spreads between 39°C and 42°C outcomes reflect uncertainties in exact cloud cover, wind shifts, or minor convective timing over the next 48 hours that could trim or boost insolation. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions