Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s July 24 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecasts showing a likely peak near 32–33 °C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and strong urban heat-island amplification in the Kanto plain. Recent model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate modest day-to-day variability tied to timing of any scattered showers or changes in boundary-layer mixing; lighter winds and higher dew points favor the upper end of the 31–34 °C range while increased cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap readings near 31 °C. Historical late-July climatology places average daily maxima around 31–32 °C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus is being weighed by traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月24日東京氣溫最高？
7月24日東京氣溫最高？
33°C 27%
32°C 24%
34°C 23%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
24%
33°C
27%
34°C
23%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 27%
32°C 24%
34°C 23%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
27°C or below
$271 交易量
<1%
28°C
$147 交易量
<1%
29°C
$82 交易量
1%
30°C
$211 交易量
3%
31°C
$223 交易量
12%
32°C
$118 交易量
24%
33°C
$118 交易量
27%
34°C
$342 交易量
23%
35°C
$332 交易量
12%
36°C
$208 交易量
2%
37°C or higher
$106 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s July 24 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecasts showing a likely peak near 32–33 °C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and strong urban heat-island amplification in the Kanto plain. Recent model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate modest day-to-day variability tied to timing of any scattered showers or changes in boundary-layer mixing; lighter winds and higher dew points favor the upper end of the 31–34 °C range while increased cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap readings near 31 °C. Historical late-July climatology places average daily maxima around 31–32 °C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus is being weighed by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,157結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s July 24 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecasts showing a likely peak near 32–33 °C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and strong urban heat-island amplification in the Kanto plain. Recent model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate modest day-to-day variability tied to timing of any scattered showers or changes in boundary-layer mixing; lighter winds and higher dew points favor the upper end of the 31–34 °C range while increased cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap readings near 31 °C. Historical late-July climatology places average daily maxima around 31–32 °C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus is being weighed by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,157結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETTrader sentiment for Tokyo’s July 24 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecasts showing a likely peak near 32–33 °C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and strong urban heat-island amplification in the Kanto plain. Recent model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate modest day-to-day variability tied to timing of any scattered showers or changes in boundary-layer mixing; lighter winds and higher dew points favor the upper end of the 31–34 °C range while increased cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap readings near 31 °C. Historical late-July climatology places average daily maxima around 31–32 °C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus is being weighed by traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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