Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's July 24 maximum temperature centered near 35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering between 34–36 °C. Subtle differences hinge on the strength and timing of the western Pacific subtropical high, which steers warm, humid air from the East China Sea while modulating cloud cover and afternoon convection. A slightly stronger ridge would suppress thunderstorms and push readings toward 36 °C; increased moisture or sea-breeze cooling could cap the peak at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer humidity further narrow the spread, with traders weighting the latest CMA and ECMWF runs most heavily as the 48-hour window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月24日上海最高溫度？
7月24日上海最高溫度？
35°C 37%
36°C 32%
37°C 14%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
37%
36°C
32%
37°C
14%
38°C
5%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 37%
36°C 32%
37°C 14%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
30°C or below
$22 交易量
<1%
31°C
$43 交易量
1%
32°C
$49 交易量
2%
33°C
$191 交易量
4%
34°C
$755 交易量
11%
35°C
$272 交易量
37%
36°C
$150 交易量
32%
37°C
$99 交易量
14%
38°C
$40 交易量
5%
39°C
$137 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$127 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's July 24 maximum temperature centered near 35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering between 34–36 °C. Subtle differences hinge on the strength and timing of the western Pacific subtropical high, which steers warm, humid air from the East China Sea while modulating cloud cover and afternoon convection. A slightly stronger ridge would suppress thunderstorms and push readings toward 36 °C; increased moisture or sea-breeze cooling could cap the peak at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer humidity further narrow the spread, with traders weighting the latest CMA and ECMWF runs most heavily as the 48-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,886結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's July 24 maximum temperature centered near 35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering between 34–36 °C. Subtle differences hinge on the strength and timing of the western Pacific subtropical high, which steers warm, humid air from the East China Sea while modulating cloud cover and afternoon convection. A slightly stronger ridge would suppress thunderstorms and push readings toward 36 °C; increased moisture or sea-breeze cooling could cap the peak at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer humidity further narrow the spread, with traders weighting the latest CMA and ECMWF runs most heavily as the 48-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,886結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's July 24 maximum temperature centered near 35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering between 34–36 °C. Subtle differences hinge on the strength and timing of the western Pacific subtropical high, which steers warm, humid air from the East China Sea while modulating cloud cover and afternoon convection. A slightly stronger ridge would suppress thunderstorms and push readings toward 36 °C; increased moisture or sea-breeze cooling could cap the peak at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer humidity further narrow the spread, with traders weighting the latest CMA and ECMWF runs most heavily as the 48-hour window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions