Recent forecast guidance from models like those used by the Met Office and AccuWeather indicates overnight lows in London for July 26 likely ranging 14–18°C amid a shift from earlier mid-July heat, with scattered rain, overcast skies, and moderate winds expected to influence nocturnal cooling. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce radiative heat loss from the surface, typically keeping minimum temperatures higher than under clear conditions, while any clearer breaks could allow sharper drops toward or below 15°C. Historical July averages near 17°C provide context, yet short-term model runs remain sensitive to exact timing of frontal passages and moisture levels, sustaining tight market spreads between the sub-15°C and mid-to-upper teens outcomes as traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月26日倫敦的最低溫度?
19°C 37%
18°C 25%
15°C或以下 23%
20°C 19%
15°C或以下
23%
16°C
9%
17°C
16%
18°C
25%
19°C
37%
20°C
19%
21°C
10%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C或以上
1%
19°C 37%
18°C 25%
15°C或以下 23%
20°C 19%
15°C或以下
23%
16°C
9%
17°C
16%
18°C
25%
19°C
37%
20°C
19%
21°C
10%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from models like those used by the Met Office and AccuWeather indicates overnight lows in London for July 26 likely ranging 14–18°C amid a shift from earlier mid-July heat, with scattered rain, overcast skies, and moderate winds expected to influence nocturnal cooling. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce radiative heat loss from the surface, typically keeping minimum temperatures higher than under clear conditions, while any clearer breaks could allow sharper drops toward or below 15°C. Historical July averages near 17°C provide context, yet short-term model runs remain sensitive to exact timing of frontal passages and moisture levels, sustaining tight market spreads between the sub-15°C and mid-to-upper teens outcomes as traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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