Recent short-range model guidance from European forecasting centers indicates a mostly stable high-pressure pattern over southern Germany through July 24, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich centered on 23–25 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with slight differences arising from the timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover or light northerly flow. Historical July climatology for the city shows mean highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns closely with current runs. Because the leading market outcomes sit within a 3 °C window, traders appear focused on the precise resolution of the official DWD measurement rather than larger-scale shifts, with new model updates and observational data expected to narrow the spread ahead of the observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月24日慕尼黑最高溫度？
7月24日慕尼黑最高溫度？
25°C 44%
24°C 26%
26°C 21%
23°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
26%
25°C
44%
26°C
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 44%
24°C 26%
26°C 21%
23°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
20°C or below
$75 交易量
<1%
21°C
$101 交易量
1%
22°C
$232 交易量
2%
23°C
$59 交易量
8%
24°C
$143 交易量
26%
25°C
$188 交易量
44%
26°C
$88 交易量
21%
27°C
$119 交易量
3%
28°C
$136 交易量
1%
29°C
$109 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$49 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from European forecasting centers indicates a mostly stable high-pressure pattern over southern Germany through July 24, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich centered on 23–25 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with slight differences arising from the timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover or light northerly flow. Historical July climatology for the city shows mean highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns closely with current runs. Because the leading market outcomes sit within a 3 °C window, traders appear focused on the precise resolution of the official DWD measurement rather than larger-scale shifts, with new model updates and observational data expected to narrow the spread ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,298結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from European forecasting centers indicates a mostly stable high-pressure pattern over southern Germany through July 24, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich centered on 23–25 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with slight differences arising from the timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover or light northerly flow. Historical July climatology for the city shows mean highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns closely with current runs. Because the leading market outcomes sit within a 3 °C window, traders appear focused on the precise resolution of the official DWD measurement rather than larger-scale shifts, with new model updates and observational data expected to narrow the spread ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,298結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent short-range model guidance from European forecasting centers indicates a mostly stable high-pressure pattern over southern Germany through July 24, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich centered on 23–25 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with slight differences arising from the timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover or light northerly flow. Historical July climatology for the city shows mean highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns closely with current runs. Because the leading market outcomes sit within a 3 °C window, traders appear focused on the precise resolution of the official DWD measurement rather than larger-scale shifts, with new model updates and observational data expected to narrow the spread ahead of the observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions