Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near seasonal norms for late July in Paris. This setup favors 26–28°C as the most probable peak on the 22nd, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing depth, which could add or subtract 1–2°C, and any subtle Atlantic moisture advection that might cap temperatures below 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but afternoon observations from nearby stations and updated 12z model runs on the 21st will likely tighten the distribution before resolution. Historical July maxima average ~25°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-average but not extreme conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月22日巴黎最高溫度？
7月22日巴黎最高溫度？
27°C 37%
26°C 34%
25°C 13%
28°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-22
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
13%
26°C
34%
27°C
37%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C或以上
1%
27°C 37%
26°C 34%
25°C 13%
28°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-22
20°C or below
$271 交易量
<1%
21°C
$120 交易量
<1%
22°C
$120 交易量
<1%
23°C
$883 交易量
1%
24°C
$540 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,718 交易量
13%
26°C
$2,203 交易量
34%
27°C
$1,015 交易量
37%
28°C
$1,239 交易量
11%
29°C
$559 交易量
2%
30°C或以上
$753 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near seasonal norms for late July in Paris. This setup favors 26–28°C as the most probable peak on the 22nd, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing depth, which could add or subtract 1–2°C, and any subtle Atlantic moisture advection that might cap temperatures below 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but afternoon observations from nearby stations and updated 12z model runs on the 21st will likely tighten the distribution before resolution. Historical July maxima average ~25°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-average but not extreme conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$9,350結束日期
2026-07-22市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near seasonal norms for late July in Paris. This setup favors 26–28°C as the most probable peak on the 22nd, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing depth, which could add or subtract 1–2°C, and any subtle Atlantic moisture advection that might cap temperatures below 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but afternoon observations from nearby stations and updated 12z model runs on the 21st will likely tighten the distribution before resolution. Historical July maxima average ~25°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-average but not extreme conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,350結束日期
2026-07-22市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near seasonal norms for late July in Paris. This setup favors 26–28°C as the most probable peak on the 22nd, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing depth, which could add or subtract 1–2°C, and any subtle Atlantic moisture advection that might cap temperatures below 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but afternoon observations from nearby stations and updated 12z model runs on the 21st will likely tighten the distribution before resolution. Historical July maxima average ~25°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-average but not extreme conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions