Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on July 24, driven by typical late-July subtropical high pressure and limited advection of cooler Atlantic air. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects, keeping the 31°C outcome at the highest market-implied probability. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though any strengthening of northerly flow or increased cloud cover could favor the 30°C bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the Po Valley, where peaks near 31°C align with observed trends in recent warm seasons.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月24日米蘭的最高溫度？
7月24日米蘭的最高溫度？
30°C 43%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
28°C or below 8.0%
最新
$14,847 交易量
最新
$14,847 交易量
2026-07-24
28°C or below
8%
29°C
25%
30°C
43%
31°C
19%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
28°C or below 8.0%
最新
$14,847 交易量
最新
$14,847 交易量
2026-07-24
28°C or below
$1,538 交易量
8%
29°C
$4,769 交易量
25%
30°C
$836 交易量
43%
31°C
$4,244 交易量
19%
32°C
$449 交易量
2%
33°C
$539 交易量
1%
34°C
$489 交易量
<1%
35°C
$388 交易量
<1%
36°C
$287 交易量
<1%
37°C
$736 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$601 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on July 24, driven by typical late-July subtropical high pressure and limited advection of cooler Atlantic air. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects, keeping the 31°C outcome at the highest market-implied probability. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though any strengthening of northerly flow or increased cloud cover could favor the 30°C bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the Po Valley, where peaks near 31°C align with observed trends in recent warm seasons.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$14,847結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on July 24, driven by typical late-July subtropical high pressure and limited advection of cooler Atlantic air. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects, keeping the 31°C outcome at the highest market-implied probability. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though any strengthening of northerly flow or increased cloud cover could favor the 30°C bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the Po Valley, where peaks near 31°C align with observed trends in recent warm seasons.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,847結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on July 24, driven by typical late-July subtropical high pressure and limited advection of cooler Atlantic air. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects, keeping the 31°C outcome at the highest market-implied probability. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though any strengthening of northerly flow or increased cloud cover could favor the 30°C bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the Po Valley, where peaks near 31°C align with observed trends in recent warm seasons.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions