Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight uncertainty in peak temperatures on July 13, with models showing potential moderate rainfall that could limit afternoon highs amid the region's typical subtropical monsoon patterns of high humidity and convective activity. Trader consensus clustering around 36–37°C reflects expectations of partly cloudy conditions allowing strong solar heating, while the spread to 38°C or higher accounts for drier scenarios and the lower probabilities for 32–35°C incorporate greater cloud cover or showers suppressing maxima. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, but short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture influx creates the narrow differentiation among leading outcomes as new model runs approach.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月13日廣州最高溫度？
7月13日廣州最高溫度？
36°C 30%
37°C 29%
35°C 14%
38°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-13
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
4%
35°C
14%
36°C
30%
37°C
29%
38°C
12%
39°C或更高
10%
36°C 30%
37°C 29%
35°C 14%
38°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-13
29°C或以下
$5 交易量
<1%
30°C
$5 交易量
1%
31°C
$5 交易量
1%
32°C
$5 交易量
1%
33°C
$51 交易量
6%
34°C
$300 交易量
4%
35°C
$20 交易量
14%
36°C
$27 交易量
30%
37°C
$17 交易量
29%
38°C
$0 交易量
12%
39°C或更高
$27 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight uncertainty in peak temperatures on July 13, with models showing potential moderate rainfall that could limit afternoon highs amid the region's typical subtropical monsoon patterns of high humidity and convective activity. Trader consensus clustering around 36–37°C reflects expectations of partly cloudy conditions allowing strong solar heating, while the spread to 38°C or higher accounts for drier scenarios and the lower probabilities for 32–35°C incorporate greater cloud cover or showers suppressing maxima. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, but short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture influx creates the narrow differentiation among leading outcomes as new model runs approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$463結束日期
2026-07-13市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight uncertainty in peak temperatures on July 13, with models showing potential moderate rainfall that could limit afternoon highs amid the region's typical subtropical monsoon patterns of high humidity and convective activity. Trader consensus clustering around 36–37°C reflects expectations of partly cloudy conditions allowing strong solar heating, while the spread to 38°C or higher accounts for drier scenarios and the lower probabilities for 32–35°C incorporate greater cloud cover or showers suppressing maxima. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, but short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture influx creates the narrow differentiation among leading outcomes as new model runs approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$463結束日期
2026-07-13市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight uncertainty in peak temperatures on July 13, with models showing potential moderate rainfall that could limit afternoon highs amid the region's typical subtropical monsoon patterns of high humidity and convective activity. Trader consensus clustering around 36–37°C reflects expectations of partly cloudy conditions allowing strong solar heating, while the spread to 38°C or higher accounts for drier scenarios and the lower probabilities for 32–35°C incorporate greater cloud cover or showers suppressing maxima. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, but short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture influx creates the narrow differentiation among leading outcomes as new model runs approach.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions