Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate daytime highs near 32°C and overnight minima around 27–28°C on July 13, consistent with the post-Meiyu transition into peak summer when persistent warm, humid air masses limit radiative cooling. High humidity, urban heat retention, and light winds typical of the region keep minimum temperatures elevated compared to the 25°C July climatological average. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability in steering patterns or frontal activity through mid-month, supporting trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes while leaving room for modest cooling if clearer skies develop overnight. Updated numerical guidance and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月13日上海最低溫度?
28°C 42%
27°C 39%
23°C或以下 15%
24°C 15%
23°C或以下
15%
24°C
15%
25°C
6%
26°C
7%
27°C
39%
28°C
42%
29°C
7%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
10%
33°C或以上
14%
28°C 42%
27°C 39%
23°C或以下 15%
24°C 15%
23°C或以下
15%
24°C
15%
25°C
6%
26°C
7%
27°C
39%
28°C
42%
29°C
7%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
10%
33°C或以上
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate daytime highs near 32°C and overnight minima around 27–28°C on July 13, consistent with the post-Meiyu transition into peak summer when persistent warm, humid air masses limit radiative cooling. High humidity, urban heat retention, and light winds typical of the region keep minimum temperatures elevated compared to the 25°C July climatological average. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability in steering patterns or frontal activity through mid-month, supporting trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes while leaving room for modest cooling if clearer skies develop overnight. Updated numerical guidance and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions