Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible over Tokyo on July 13, following a pattern of seasonal monsoon influences. These factors typically moderate overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures in the 23–26°C range consistent with historical July baselines near 22–24°C. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover, precipitation timing, and urban heat island effects, which can elevate lows by 1–2°C compared to rural analogs. Upcoming model updates from regional agencies will refine wind patterns and humidity levels that determine whether the minimum settles nearer the lower or upper end of this band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月13日東京最低氣溫?
28°C 35%
29°C 35%
26°C 30%
25°C 25%
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
24%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
25%
26°C
30%
27°C
15%
28°C
35%
29°C
35%
30°C或以上
12%
28°C 35%
29°C 35%
26°C 30%
25°C 25%
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
24%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
25%
26°C
30%
27°C
15%
28°C
35%
29°C
35%
30°C或以上
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible over Tokyo on July 13, following a pattern of seasonal monsoon influences. These factors typically moderate overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures in the 23–26°C range consistent with historical July baselines near 22–24°C. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover, precipitation timing, and urban heat island effects, which can elevate lows by 1–2°C compared to rural analogs. Upcoming model updates from regional agencies will refine wind patterns and humidity levels that determine whether the minimum settles nearer the lower or upper end of this band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions