Recent model consensus from ECMWF and regional guidance points to a July 10 maximum near 25–27 °C in Istanbul, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions feature a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, while northerly winds and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes often cap daytime peaks a few degrees below inland values. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast adjustments in these factors can easily move the realized maximum across the 25–27 °C range. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月10日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
7月10日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
26°C 46%
25°C 39%
27°C 16%
24°C 2.3%
最新
$20,927 交易量
最新
$20,927 交易量
2026-07-10
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
39%
26°C
46%
27°C
16%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
26°C 46%
25°C 39%
27°C 16%
24°C 2.3%
最新
$20,927 交易量
最新
$20,927 交易量
2026-07-10
20°C或以下
$1,158 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,601 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,349 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,017 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,212 交易量
2%
25°C
$3,896 交易量
39%
26°C
$5,427 交易量
46%
27°C
$2,400 交易量
16%
28°C
$1,520 交易量
1%
29°C
$675 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$671 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and regional guidance points to a July 10 maximum near 25–27 °C in Istanbul, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions feature a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, while northerly winds and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes often cap daytime peaks a few degrees below inland values. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast adjustments in these factors can easily move the realized maximum across the 25–27 °C range. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$20,927結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and regional guidance points to a July 10 maximum near 25–27 °C in Istanbul, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions feature a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, while northerly winds and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes often cap daytime peaks a few degrees below inland values. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast adjustments in these factors can easily move the realized maximum across the 25–27 °C range. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,927結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and regional guidance points to a July 10 maximum near 25–27 °C in Istanbul, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions feature a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, while northerly winds and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes often cap daytime peaks a few degrees below inland values. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast adjustments in these factors can easily move the realized maximum across the 25–27 °C range. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions