Recent meteorological model consensus projects Mexico City’s July 30 maximum near the seasonal July average of 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities centered on 25–26 °C outcomes. High-altitude location, elevated humidity, and typical rainy-season afternoon convection produce cloud cover and scattered showers that frequently limit daytime peaks, creating narrow uncertainty bands between adjacent temperature brackets. Minor forecast divergences stem from precise timing of convective development and any subtle shifts in steering flow, with official updates from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional expected to refine guidance before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城7月30日的最高溫度?
26°C 50%
27°C 26%
25°C 18%
24°C 5%
$11,985 交易量
$11,985 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
50%
27°C
26%
28°C
4%
29°C或更高
2%
26°C 50%
27°C 26%
25°C 18%
24°C 5%
$11,985 交易量
$11,985 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
50%
27°C
26%
28°C
4%
29°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological model consensus projects Mexico City’s July 30 maximum near the seasonal July average of 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities centered on 25–26 °C outcomes. High-altitude location, elevated humidity, and typical rainy-season afternoon convection produce cloud cover and scattered showers that frequently limit daytime peaks, creating narrow uncertainty bands between adjacent temperature brackets. Minor forecast divergences stem from precise timing of convective development and any subtle shifts in steering flow, with official updates from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional expected to refine guidance before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions