Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Yellow Sea region, favoring subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies that could drive Qingdao's August 4 maximum to 34–35°C, aligning with the market's leading 36.5% and 24.5% implied probabilities. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity may moderate extremes compared to inland areas, yet recent observations of above-average warmth in early August support trader emphasis on these outcomes over climatological norms near 30°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine cloud cover and wind patterns, introducing uncertainty around the 24% chance assigned to 36°C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日青島氣溫最高？
8月4日青島氣溫最高？
34°C 35%
36°C或以上 24%
35°C 23%
33°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
20%
34°C
35%
35°C
23%
36°C或以上
24%
34°C 35%
36°C或以上 24%
35°C 23%
33°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
26°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$10 交易量
<1%
28°C
$10 交易量
<1%
29°C
$10 交易量
<1%
30°C
$10 交易量
1%
31°C
$20 交易量
2%
32°C
$25 交易量
5%
33°C
$0 交易量
20%
34°C
$51 交易量
35%
35°C
$24 交易量
23%
36°C或以上
$19 交易量
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Yellow Sea region, favoring subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies that could drive Qingdao's August 4 maximum to 34–35°C, aligning with the market's leading 36.5% and 24.5% implied probabilities. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity may moderate extremes compared to inland areas, yet recent observations of above-average warmth in early August support trader emphasis on these outcomes over climatological norms near 30°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine cloud cover and wind patterns, introducing uncertainty around the 24% chance assigned to 36°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$179結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Yellow Sea region, favoring subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies that could drive Qingdao's August 4 maximum to 34–35°C, aligning with the market's leading 36.5% and 24.5% implied probabilities. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity may moderate extremes compared to inland areas, yet recent observations of above-average warmth in early August support trader emphasis on these outcomes over climatological norms near 30°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine cloud cover and wind patterns, introducing uncertainty around the 24% chance assigned to 36°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$179結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Yellow Sea region, favoring subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies that could drive Qingdao's August 4 maximum to 34–35°C, aligning with the market's leading 36.5% and 24.5% implied probabilities. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity may moderate extremes compared to inland areas, yet recent observations of above-average warmth in early August support trader emphasis on these outcomes over climatological norms near 30°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine cloud cover and wind patterns, introducing uncertainty around the 24% chance assigned to 36°C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions