Current forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月2日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
12°C 41%
13°C 40%
11°C 11%
14°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
11%
12°C
41%
13°C
40%
14°C
11%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 41%
13°C 40%
11°C 11%
14°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
6°C or below
$248 交易量
<1%
7°C
$248 交易量
<1%
8°C
$10 交易量
<1%
9°C
$10 交易量
<1%
10°C
$109 交易量
4%
11°C
$207 交易量
11%
12°C
$281 交易量
41%
13°C
$295 交易量
40%
14°C
$344 交易量
11%
15°C
$100 交易量
2%
16°C or higher
$152 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,006結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,006結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions