Recent forecasts indicate Hong Kong will experience showers and overcast conditions on August 2, 2026, with official guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 25–26°C amid the typical summer monsoon flow. Trader sentiment remains closely split because nocturnal radiative cooling—the primary mechanism lowering overnight lows—depends on variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which models show diverging on. Persistent moisture and potential thundery activity from regional systems can suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation, while brief clear spells would favor readings closer to or below 24°C. Seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal warmth overall, yet short-range uncertainty around exact wind and humidity profiles keeps probabilities distributed across the 20–26°C range, with resolution hinging on the final Hong Kong Observatory minimum reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日香港最低溫度？
8月2日香港最低溫度？
25°C 34%
20°C或以下 33%
24°C 30%
23°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
20°C或以下
33%
21°C
10%
22°C
9%
23°C
18%
24°C
30%
25°C
34%
26°C
18%
27°C
10%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
25°C 34%
20°C或以下 33%
24°C 30%
23°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
20°C或以下
$37 交易量
33%
21°C
$10 交易量
10%
22°C
$10 交易量
9%
23°C
$1 交易量
18%
24°C
$0 交易量
30%
25°C
$0 交易量
34%
26°C
$0 交易量
18%
27°C
$1 交易量
10%
28°C
$81 交易量
1%
29°C
$32 交易量
1%
30°C或以上
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts indicate Hong Kong will experience showers and overcast conditions on August 2, 2026, with official guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 25–26°C amid the typical summer monsoon flow. Trader sentiment remains closely split because nocturnal radiative cooling—the primary mechanism lowering overnight lows—depends on variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which models show diverging on. Persistent moisture and potential thundery activity from regional systems can suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation, while brief clear spells would favor readings closer to or below 24°C. Seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal warmth overall, yet short-range uncertainty around exact wind and humidity profiles keeps probabilities distributed across the 20–26°C range, with resolution hinging on the final Hong Kong Observatory minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$172結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts indicate Hong Kong will experience showers and overcast conditions on August 2, 2026, with official guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 25–26°C amid the typical summer monsoon flow. Trader sentiment remains closely split because nocturnal radiative cooling—the primary mechanism lowering overnight lows—depends on variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which models show diverging on. Persistent moisture and potential thundery activity from regional systems can suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation, while brief clear spells would favor readings closer to or below 24°C. Seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal warmth overall, yet short-range uncertainty around exact wind and humidity profiles keeps probabilities distributed across the 20–26°C range, with resolution hinging on the final Hong Kong Observatory minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$172結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate Hong Kong will experience showers and overcast conditions on August 2, 2026, with official guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 25–26°C amid the typical summer monsoon flow. Trader sentiment remains closely split because nocturnal radiative cooling—the primary mechanism lowering overnight lows—depends on variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which models show diverging on. Persistent moisture and potential thundery activity from regional systems can suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation, while brief clear spells would favor readings closer to or below 24°C. Seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal warmth overall, yet short-range uncertainty around exact wind and humidity profiles keeps probabilities distributed across the 20–26°C range, with resolution hinging on the final Hong Kong Observatory minimum reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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