Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 2 daytime maximum near 26–28°C under building high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 26°C (32.5% implied probability) and 27°C (23.5%). These conditions favor above-average warmth for early August but lack the strong subtropical ridge needed for 29°C+ extremes, while variable cloud and light winds keep sub-25°C outcomes viable. Model spreads in timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty band, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance and verification trends ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月2日倫敦的最高溫度？
26°C 34%
27°C 32%
25°C 17%
28°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
17%
26°C
34%
27°C
32%
28°C
16%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 34%
27°C 32%
25°C 17%
28°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
22°C or below
$130 交易量
<1%
23°C
$180 交易量
2%
24°C
$180 交易量
3%
25°C
$359 交易量
17%
26°C
$645 交易量
34%
27°C
$150 交易量
32%
28°C
$94 交易量
16%
29°C
$269 交易量
5%
30°C
$20 交易量
2%
31°C
$10 交易量
2%
32°C or higher
$140 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 2 daytime maximum near 26–28°C under building high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 26°C (32.5% implied probability) and 27°C (23.5%). These conditions favor above-average warmth for early August but lack the strong subtropical ridge needed for 29°C+ extremes, while variable cloud and light winds keep sub-25°C outcomes viable. Model spreads in timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty band, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance and verification trends ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,177結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 2 daytime maximum near 26–28°C under building high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 26°C (32.5% implied probability) and 27°C (23.5%). These conditions favor above-average warmth for early August but lack the strong subtropical ridge needed for 29°C+ extremes, while variable cloud and light winds keep sub-25°C outcomes viable. Model spreads in timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty band, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance and verification trends ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,177結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETCurrent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 2 daytime maximum near 26–28°C under building high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 26°C (32.5% implied probability) and 27°C (23.5%). These conditions favor above-average warmth for early August but lack the strong subtropical ridge needed for 29°C+ extremes, while variable cloud and light winds keep sub-25°C outcomes viable. Model spreads in timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty band, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance and verification trends ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions