Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show Moscow under a ridge of high pressure on August 2, 2026, with southwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses and minimal cloud cover, supporting maximum temperatures of 29–30 °C. Ensemble guidance places the most likely peak in this range, consistent with observed warming trends through late July that have already lifted daytime maxima several degrees above seasonal normals. While some members allow brief excursions to 31 °C if subsidence strengthens further, the probability of reaching 32 °C or higher remains low given current steering patterns and modest soil moisture. Updated short-range runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum and determine whether traders continue to favor the 29–30 °C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日莫斯科最高溫度？
8月2日莫斯科最高溫度？
30°C 36%
29°C 30%
31°C 21%
28°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
12%
29°C
30%
30°C
36%
31°C
21%
32°C
4%
33°C或以上
7%
30°C 36%
29°C 30%
31°C 21%
28°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
7%
26°C
$20 交易量
6%
27°C
$4 交易量
12%
28°C
$0 交易量
12%
29°C
$0 交易量
30%
30°C
$0 交易量
36%
31°C
$0 交易量
21%
32°C
$0 交易量
4%
33°C或以上
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show Moscow under a ridge of high pressure on August 2, 2026, with southwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses and minimal cloud cover, supporting maximum temperatures of 29–30 °C. Ensemble guidance places the most likely peak in this range, consistent with observed warming trends through late July that have already lifted daytime maxima several degrees above seasonal normals. While some members allow brief excursions to 31 °C if subsidence strengthens further, the probability of reaching 32 °C or higher remains low given current steering patterns and modest soil moisture. Updated short-range runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum and determine whether traders continue to favor the 29–30 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$24結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show Moscow under a ridge of high pressure on August 2, 2026, with southwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses and minimal cloud cover, supporting maximum temperatures of 29–30 °C. Ensemble guidance places the most likely peak in this range, consistent with observed warming trends through late July that have already lifted daytime maxima several degrees above seasonal normals. While some members allow brief excursions to 31 °C if subsidence strengthens further, the probability of reaching 32 °C or higher remains low given current steering patterns and modest soil moisture. Updated short-range runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum and determine whether traders continue to favor the 29–30 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show Moscow under a ridge of high pressure on August 2, 2026, with southwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses and minimal cloud cover, supporting maximum temperatures of 29–30 °C. Ensemble guidance places the most likely peak in this range, consistent with observed warming trends through late July that have already lifted daytime maxima several degrees above seasonal normals. While some members allow brief excursions to 31 °C if subsidence strengthens further, the probability of reaching 32 °C or higher remains low given current steering patterns and modest soil moisture. Updated short-range runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum and determine whether traders continue to favor the 29–30 °C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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