Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on July 31 hovering near the 28–30°C threshold, with slight differences in predicted boundary-layer warmth, insolation, and low-level advection under a weak high-pressure ridge driving the tight 26.5%–25.5% split between 29°C and 30°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris can add 1–2°C locally compared with surrounding stations, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or northerly flow would cap readings at the lower end. With resolution based on official Météo-France observations, traders weigh the latest model runs and verification against climatological July averages of 24–27°C, noting that small errors in timing of peak heating often decide the exact degree.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日巴黎最高溫度？
7月31日巴黎最高溫度？
30°C 52%
29°C 32%
31°C 8%
28°C 6%
最新
$15,417 交易量
最新
$15,417 交易量
2026-07-31
27°C or below
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
32%
30°C
52%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
30°C 52%
29°C 32%
31°C 8%
28°C 6%
最新
$15,417 交易量
最新
$15,417 交易量
2026-07-31
27°C or below
$741 交易量
1%
28°C
$1,329 交易量
6%
29°C
$2,088 交易量
32%
30°C
$4,268 交易量
52%
31°C
$1,290 交易量
8%
32°C
$930 交易量
2%
33°C
$330 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,208 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,755 交易量
<1%
36°C
$772 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$706 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on July 31 hovering near the 28–30°C threshold, with slight differences in predicted boundary-layer warmth, insolation, and low-level advection under a weak high-pressure ridge driving the tight 26.5%–25.5% split between 29°C and 30°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris can add 1–2°C locally compared with surrounding stations, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or northerly flow would cap readings at the lower end. With resolution based on official Météo-France observations, traders weigh the latest model runs and verification against climatological July averages of 24–27°C, noting that small errors in timing of peak heating often decide the exact degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$15,417結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on July 31 hovering near the 28–30°C threshold, with slight differences in predicted boundary-layer warmth, insolation, and low-level advection under a weak high-pressure ridge driving the tight 26.5%–25.5% split between 29°C and 30°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris can add 1–2°C locally compared with surrounding stations, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or northerly flow would cap readings at the lower end. With resolution based on official Météo-France observations, traders weigh the latest model runs and verification against climatological July averages of 24–27°C, noting that small errors in timing of peak heating often decide the exact degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,417結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on July 31 hovering near the 28–30°C threshold, with slight differences in predicted boundary-layer warmth, insolation, and low-level advection under a weak high-pressure ridge driving the tight 26.5%–25.5% split between 29°C and 30°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris can add 1–2°C locally compared with surrounding stations, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or northerly flow would cap readings at the lower end. With resolution based on official Météo-France observations, traders weigh the latest model runs and verification against climatological July averages of 24–27°C, noting that small errors in timing of peak heating often decide the exact degree.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions