Typical August overnight lows in Tokyo hover near 24–25°C under the influence of a strengthened Pacific High driving above-normal seasonal temperatures. Current long-range guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with possible showers around August 2, which could modestly suppress the minimum through increased cloud cover or brief cooling, keeping the most likely range at 24–26°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity limit downward deviations, while model spread in steering patterns and local wind introduces the narrow probability bands traders have priced. Updated short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日東京最低溫度?
25°C 56%
26°C 35%
24°C 10%
20°C或以下 4%
20°C或以下
4%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
10%
25°C
56%
26°C
35%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
25°C 56%
26°C 35%
24°C 10%
20°C或以下 4%
20°C或以下
4%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
10%
25°C
56%
26°C
35%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Typical August overnight lows in Tokyo hover near 24–25°C under the influence of a strengthened Pacific High driving above-normal seasonal temperatures. Current long-range guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with possible showers around August 2, which could modestly suppress the minimum through increased cloud cover or brief cooling, keeping the most likely range at 24–26°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity limit downward deviations, while model spread in steering patterns and local wind introduces the narrow probability bands traders have priced. Updated short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions