Recent forecasts and climatological data point to typical mid-summer conditions over the Red Sea coastal plain, where strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and a persistent thermal trough favor daytime maxima near 38–40 °C. Historical August averages for Jeddah reach 38 °C, with recent observations already touching 41 °C, keeping the market’s closely bunched probabilities on 38 °C (20 %), 39 °C (23.5 %), and 40 °C+ (30 %) aligned with the narrow range between normal and modestly above-normal heat. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on short-term variables such as Red Sea breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day convective suppression that could trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日吉達的最高溫度?
40°C或以上 46%
39°C 24%
38°C 20%
37°C 13%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
11%
37°C
13%
38°C
20%
39°C
24%
40°C或以上
31%
40°C或以上 46%
39°C 24%
38°C 20%
37°C 13%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
11%
37°C
13%
38°C
20%
39°C
24%
40°C或以上
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts and climatological data point to typical mid-summer conditions over the Red Sea coastal plain, where strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and a persistent thermal trough favor daytime maxima near 38–40 °C. Historical August averages for Jeddah reach 38 °C, with recent observations already touching 41 °C, keeping the market’s closely bunched probabilities on 38 °C (20 %), 39 °C (23.5 %), and 40 °C+ (30 %) aligned with the narrow range between normal and modestly above-normal heat. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on short-term variables such as Red Sea breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day convective suppression that could trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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