Recent Met Office guidance places London's maximum temperature on August 4 around 28°C under increasingly unsettled conditions with a risk of showers, following peak warmth earlier in the week. Ensemble model consensus and regional forecasts support a narrow band near 27–29°C as the most probable range, reflecting typical early-August variability and moderating high pressure. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, while current soil moisture and humidity levels could influence observed maxima at official stations. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月4日倫敦的最高溫度？
29°C 41%
28°C 30%
27°C 22%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
25°C or below
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
30%
29°C
41%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 30%
27°C 22%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
25°C or below
$86 交易量
3%
26°C
$66 交易量
7%
27°C
$110 交易量
22%
28°C
$104 交易量
30%
29°C
$552 交易量
41%
30°C
$25 交易量
4%
31°C
$25 交易量
3%
32°C
$32 交易量
2%
33°C
$45 交易量
1%
34°C
$30 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$30 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance places London's maximum temperature on August 4 around 28°C under increasingly unsettled conditions with a risk of showers, following peak warmth earlier in the week. Ensemble model consensus and regional forecasts support a narrow band near 27–29°C as the most probable range, reflecting typical early-August variability and moderating high pressure. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, while current soil moisture and humidity levels could influence observed maxima at official stations. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,103結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance places London's maximum temperature on August 4 around 28°C under increasingly unsettled conditions with a risk of showers, following peak warmth earlier in the week. Ensemble model consensus and regional forecasts support a narrow band near 27–29°C as the most probable range, reflecting typical early-August variability and moderating high pressure. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, while current soil moisture and humidity levels could influence observed maxima at official stations. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,103結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance places London's maximum temperature on August 4 around 28°C under increasingly unsettled conditions with a risk of showers, following peak warmth earlier in the week. Ensemble model consensus and regional forecasts support a narrow band near 27–29°C as the most probable range, reflecting typical early-August variability and moderating high pressure. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, while current soil moisture and humidity levels could influence observed maxima at official stations. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions