Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai point to nighttime minimum temperatures of 26–27°C on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity levels that limit radiative cooling, and the urban heat island effect typical of early August. These conditions align closely with climatological baselines for the region, where average lows hover near 25–26°C amid muggy summer air masses. Recent model runs from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com show no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected to alter this pattern over the next 48 hours, supporting trader consensus around the leading 27°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Minor variability in steering flows or localized precipitation could nudge readings toward 25–26°C, while stronger warming would favor 28°C. Updated short-range guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日上海最低溫度？
8月4日上海最低溫度？
27°C 40%
26°C 24%
28°C 19%
25°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
21°C或以下
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
13%
26°C
24%
27°C
51%
28°C
11%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
1%
27°C 40%
26°C 24%
28°C 19%
25°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
21°C或以下
$10 交易量
3%
22°C
$10 交易量
10%
23°C
$0 交易量
7%
24°C
$0 交易量
10%
25°C
$0 交易量
13%
26°C
$0 交易量
24%
27°C
$0 交易量
51%
28°C
$0 交易量
11%
29°C
$0 交易量
9%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai point to nighttime minimum temperatures of 26–27°C on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity levels that limit radiative cooling, and the urban heat island effect typical of early August. These conditions align closely with climatological baselines for the region, where average lows hover near 25–26°C amid muggy summer air masses. Recent model runs from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com show no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected to alter this pattern over the next 48 hours, supporting trader consensus around the leading 27°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Minor variability in steering flows or localized precipitation could nudge readings toward 25–26°C, while stronger warming would favor 28°C. Updated short-range guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai point to nighttime minimum temperatures of 26–27°C on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity levels that limit radiative cooling, and the urban heat island effect typical of early August. These conditions align closely with climatological baselines for the region, where average lows hover near 25–26°C amid muggy summer air masses. Recent model runs from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com show no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected to alter this pattern over the next 48 hours, supporting trader consensus around the leading 27°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Minor variability in steering flows or localized precipitation could nudge readings toward 25–26°C, while stronger warming would favor 28°C. Updated short-range guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai point to nighttime minimum temperatures of 26–27°C on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity levels that limit radiative cooling, and the urban heat island effect typical of early August. These conditions align closely with climatological baselines for the region, where average lows hover near 25–26°C amid muggy summer air masses. Recent model runs from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com show no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected to alter this pattern over the next 48 hours, supporting trader consensus around the leading 27°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Minor variability in steering flows or localized precipitation could nudge readings toward 25–26°C, while stronger warming would favor 28°C. Updated short-range guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions